Electronic Arts (EA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.08), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, EA sits materially above the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 26, 2026 (±4 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+10pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.08-0.19 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.08 | -0.19 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.18% | +0.31pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.28% | +2.48pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±4 days.
| Dividend | $0.19 |
| Per-event yield | 0.09% |
| Annualized yield | 0.38% |
| Previously paid | Feb 25, 2026 ($0.19) |
| Last record date | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 18, 2026 |
EA Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Electronic Arts (EA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.19 | -0.09% | $201.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.99% | +0.46% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | -0.15% | $203.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.22% | +0.23% | |
| Q3 | $0.19 | 0.22% | $172.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.49% | -2.33% | |
| Q2 | $0.19 | 0.03% | $146.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.89% | +1.18% | |
| Q1 | $0.19 | -0.21% | $131.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.82% | +1.91% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | -0.67% | $165.02 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.67% | +0.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.19 | 0.07% | $149.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.62% | -2.08% | |
| Q2 | $0.19 | -0.58% | $132.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.25% | +4.62% | |
| Q1 | $0.19 | 0.00% | $142.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.80% | -4.29% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | -0.28% | $137.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.64% | +0.36% | |
| Q3 | $0.19 | -0.03% | $120.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.22% | +0.47% | |
| Q2 | $0.19 | 0.18% | $126.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.21% | +0.42% | |
| Q1 | $0.19 | -0.37% | $111.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.30% | +1.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | -0.44% | $128.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.80% | -0.58% | |
| Q3 | $0.19 | -0.48% | $129.60 | 8 | no | yes | -5.45% | -2.98% | |
| Q2 | $0.19 | -0.94% | $140.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.33% | -9.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | -0.62% | $126.26 | 9 | no | yes | -6.87% | -4.19% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | 0.74% | $126.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.31% | +0.56% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | 0.26% | $143.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.73% | +0.68% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | -0.53% | $142.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.60% | +1.92% |
- +0.46%
- +0.23%
- -2.33%
- +1.18%
- +1.91%
- +0.48%
- -2.08%
- +4.62%
- -4.29%
- +0.36%
- +0.47%
- +0.42%
- +1.12%
- -0.58%
- -2.98%
- -9.11%
- -4.19%
- +0.56%
- +0.68%
- +1.92%
EA Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
EA Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with EA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $38.00
- After-tax dividend
- $24.70
- Slippage round-trip
- -$40.20
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-15.50
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.04%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.04%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-1.9%
EA Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical EA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · EA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.12% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.13% | |
| -4.19% | |
| +0.14% | |
| -2.98% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.09% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.