Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what F is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
—
Method range
$11.61 – $14.05
median $12.06
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | — | — |
| Exit multiple | $12.06 | -19.06% |
| Analyst target | $14.05 | -5.70% |
| Graham number | $11.61 | -22.08% |
- Forward DCF—
- Exit multiple$12.06
- Analyst target$14.05
- Graham number$11.61
Stock price
$14.90
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.33
3Y FCF CAGR
7.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$4.47
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
24.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -233.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
7.2%
Your model implies
24.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 7% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.9% | 21.8% | 21.3% | 20.7% | 20.1% | 19.5% |
| 11.9% | 23.8% | 23.3% | 22.8% | 22.3% | 21.7% |
| 12.9% | 25.7% | 25.3% | 24.8% | 24.3% | 23.8% |
| 13.9% | 27.5% | 27.2% | 26.7% | 26.3% | 25.8% |
| 14.9% | 29.3% | 29.0% | 28.6% | 28.2% | 27.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$144.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.66
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Ford Motor (F) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation