Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FDS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$484.88
Method range
$65.38 – $584.99
median $369.62
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $484.88 | +97.74% |
| Exit multiple | $584.99 | +138.57% |
| Analyst target | $254.36 | +3.73% |
| Graham number | $65.38 | -73.34% |
- Forward DCF$484.88
- Exit multiple$584.99
- Analyst target$254.36
- Graham number$65.38
Stock price
$245.21
FCF / share (TTM)
$6.90
3Y FCF CAGR
5.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$159.78
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
11.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -53.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.9%
Your model implies
11.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 6% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| 8.2% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% |
| 9.2% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.3% |
| 10.2% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 14.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.22B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.72
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
FactSet (FDS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks6.89% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.82% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.