Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what GRMN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$252.12
Method range
$47.71 – $270.67
median $230.91
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $252.12 | +4.83% |
| Exit multiple | $209.70 | -12.81% |
| Analyst target | $270.67 | +12.54% |
| Graham number | $47.71 | -80.16% |
- Forward DCF$252.12
- Exit multiple$209.70
- Analyst target$270.67
- Graham number$47.71
Stock price
$240.51
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.44
3Y FCF CAGR
17.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$117.56
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
27.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -104.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
17.9%
Your model implies
27.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 18% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 23.9% | 22.9% | 21.8% | 20.6% | 19.2% |
| 8.2% | 26.7% | 25.8% | 24.9% | 23.9% | 22.8% |
| 9.2% | 29.2% | 28.5% | 27.7% | 26.9% | 26.0% |
| 10.2% | 31.7% | 31.0% | 30.3% | 29.6% | 28.8% |
| 11.2% | 34.0% | 33.4% | 32.8% | 32.1% | 31.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$2.08B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.91
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Garmin (GRMN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.60% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.56% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.