Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 94% of the last 17 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.49), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HST sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 30, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.92.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 94%-1pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.49+0.05 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 17 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 94% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.49 | +0.05 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.00% | -0.13pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.15% | +0.56pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 29 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.92 |
| Per-event yield | 4.85% |
| Annualized yield | 6.68% |
| Previously paid | Mar 31, 2026 ($0.20) |
| Last record date | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 15, 2026 |
HST Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Host Hotels & Resorts (HST). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.20 | 0.63% | $18.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.08% | +5.01% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | -2.13% | $18.29 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.61% | +1.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -1.66% | $17.43 | 29 | no | yes | -9.35% | -4.59% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -1.21% | $15.76 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.49% | +3.93% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -2.17% | $14.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.37% | -8.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | -1.29% | $17.78 | >30 | no | no | -6.92% | -2.36% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -1.21% | $18.13 | 12 | no | yes | -6.23% | -2.48% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -0.33% | $18.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.50% | -0.72% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | 0.00% | $20.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.28% | +0.05% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -2.53% | $20.17 | 7 | no | yes | -4.12% | +0.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -0.56% | $16.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.18% | +1.37% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -1.33% | $16.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.57% | +6.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | 0.38% | $15.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.82% | +2.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.32 | -1.45% | $15.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.64% | +4.10% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -1.99% | $16.55 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.98% | +0.79% | |
| Q2 | $0.06 | -0.99% | $16.13 | 6 | no | yes | -6.39% | +0.25% | |
| Q1 | $0.03 | 0.81% | $19.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.00% | -7.42% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | 0.80% | $11.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -21.72% | -5.85% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -1.17% | $18.86 | >30 | no | no | -8.17% | -5.78% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -0.59% | $16.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.43% | -0.47% |
- +5.01%
- +1.48%
- -4.59%
- +3.93%
- -8.06%
- -2.36%
- -2.48%
- -0.72%
- +0.05%
- +0.55%
- +1.37%
- +6.47%
- +2.79%
- +4.10%
- +0.79%
- +0.25%
- -7.42%
- -5.85%
- -5.78%
- -0.47%
HST Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
HST Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with HST's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $184.00
- After-tax dividend
- $119.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$3.79
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$115.81
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +3.05%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~153.9%
HST Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical HST ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HST (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.18% | |
| -5.78% | |
| +1.77% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +2.02% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +1.11% | |
| -2.48% | |
| -2.36% | |
| +1.40% | |
| +1.27% | |
| -4.59% | |
| +1.91% | |
| +1.05% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.