Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what HST is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$13.68
Method range
$12.58 – $25.18
median $17.23
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $13.68 | -44.16% |
| Exit multiple | $20.78 | -15.17% |
| Analyst target | $25.18 | +2.78% |
| Graham number | $12.58 | -48.66% |
- Forward DCF$13.68
- Exit multiple$20.78
- Analyst target$25.18
- Graham number$12.58
Stock price
$24.50
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.32
3Y FCF CAGR
-0.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3.29
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
26.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -645.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-0.9%
Your model implies
26.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3% | 23.3% | 22.5% | 21.7% | 20.7% | 19.7% |
| 9.3% | 25.8% | 25.1% | 24.4% | 23.6% | 22.7% |
| 10.3% | 28.2% | 27.5% | 26.9% | 26.2% | 25.4% |
| 11.3% | 30.4% | 29.8% | 29.2% | 28.6% | 27.9% |
| 12.3% | 32.5% | 32.0% | 31.4% | 30.9% | 30.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.02
Low vs growth
Net debt
$4.87B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.12
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.36% TTM
- Dividend Profile6.82% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History5 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.