Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what HST is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$13.81
Method range
$12.58 – $22.21
median $17.23
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $13.81 | -43.92% |
| Exit multiple | $20.65 | -16.12% |
| Analyst target | $22.21 | -9.79% |
| Graham number | $12.58 | -48.91% |
- Forward DCF$13.81
- Exit multiple$20.65
- Analyst target$22.21
- Graham number$12.58
Stock price
$24.62
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.49
3Y FCF CAGR
-0.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$5.16
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
20.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -377.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-0.9%
Your model implies
20.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 13.8% |
| 9.2% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 16.6% |
| 10.2% | 21.8% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 19.9% | 19.2% |
| 11.2% | 23.9% | 23.3% | 22.8% | 22.2% | 21.6% |
| 12.2% | 25.9% | 25.4% | 24.9% | 24.4% | 23.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.02
Low vs growth
Net debt
$4.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.13
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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