Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what LDOS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$972.64
Method range
$48.27 – $972.64
median $189.70
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $972.64 | +681.68% |
| Exit multiple | $192.07 | +54.36% |
| Analyst target | $187.33 | +50.55% |
| Graham number | $48.27 | -61.20% |
- Forward DCF$972.64
- Exit multiple$192.07
- Analyst target$187.33
- Graham number$48.27
Stock price
$124.43
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.14
3Y FCF CAGR
18.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$170.05
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
14.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 26.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
18.6%
Your model implies
14.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 19% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| 6.1% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% |
| 7.1% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.1% |
| 8.1% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 15.5% |
| 9.1% | 21.5% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 19.3% | 18.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
5.51
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$4.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.52
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Leidos Holdings (LDOS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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