LII dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Lennox International (LII) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.11), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, LII sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 30, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.11
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.11 | -0.06 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.15% | +0.48pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.60% | +1.42pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 2 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$1.36
Per-event yield
0.24%
Annualized yield
0.92%
Previously paid
Jun 30, 2026 ($1.36)
Last record date
Jun 30, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Lennox International (LII). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.36 | 1.25% | $568.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.97% | -5.22% | |
| Q1 | $1.30 | 3.77% | $443.99 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.20% | +7.97% | |
| Q4 | $1.30 | -0.30% | $494.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.84% | +4.84% | |
| Q3 | $1.30 | -0.25% | $520.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.30% | +4.36% | |
| Q2 | $1.30 | 0.12% | $567.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +5.00% | |
| Q2 | $1.15 | -1.10% | $534.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.36% | +6.40% | |
| Q4 | $1.15 | 0.70% | $613.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.58% | +2.07% | |
| Q3 | $1.15 | -0.16% | $604.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.57% | -1.62% | |
| Q2 | $1.15 | 0.09% | $542.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.08% | +0.30% | |
| Q1 | $1.10 | 0.40% | $484.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.89% | -3.51% | |
| Q4 | $1.10 | -0.71% | $448.97 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.19% | -3.85% | |
| Q3 | $1.10 | 0.29% | $371.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.96% | +3.92% | |
| Q2 | $1.10 | -0.36% | $321.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.28% | -0.08% | |
| Q1 | $1.06 | 0.46% | $245.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.39% | -3.66% | |
| Q4 | $1.06 | 0.45% | $239.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.61% | +2.00% | |
| Q3 | $1.06 | 0.12% | $243.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.78% | +6.43% | |
| Q2 | $1.06 | -1.07% | $202.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.24% | +8.27% | |
| Q1 | $0.92 | -0.97% | $268.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.73% | -3.01% | |
| Q4 | $0.92 | 0.20% | $326.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.02% | -5.05% | |
| Q3 | $0.92 | -0.01% | $302.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.21% | -1.45% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 19 | 95% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with LII's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical LII ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.30%
Win rate (20 trades)
100%
Cumulative P&L
+5.95%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+96.98%
Best event
+0.52%
Worst event
+0.19%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · LII (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.30% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.24% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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