Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what LII is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$925.28
Method range
$51.41 – $925.28
median $563.51
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $925.28 | +81.99% |
| Exit multiple | $570.73 | +12.25% |
| Analyst target | $556.30 | +9.42% |
| Graham number | $51.41 | -89.89% |
- Forward DCF$925.28
- Exit multiple$570.73
- Analyst target$556.30
- Graham number$51.41
Stock price
$508.43
EPS (TTM)
$22.20
5Y EPS CAGR
19.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$925.28
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
10.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 45.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
19.2%
Your model implies
10.9%
Next-year analyst consensus
9.4%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
| 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% |
| 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% |
| 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$2.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.23
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Lennox International (LII) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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