Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what LULU is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$973.25
Method range
$39.87 – $973.25
median $260.94
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $973.25 | +758.47% |
| Exit multiple | $395.32 | +248.70% |
| Analyst target | $126.56 | +11.63% |
| Graham number | $39.87 | -64.83% |
- Forward DCF$973.25
- Exit multiple$395.32
- Analyst target$126.56
- Graham number$39.87
Stock price
$113.37
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.75
3Y FCF CAGR
0.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$10.04
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
33.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,029.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
0.3%
Your model implies
33.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 0% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | 29.0% | 28.0% | 26.8% | 25.5% | 24.0% |
| 8.1% | 32.1% | 31.1% | 30.1% | 29.1% | 27.9% |
| 9.1% | 34.8% | 34.0% | 33.2% | 32.2% | 31.2% |
| 10.1% | 37.4% | 36.7% | 35.9% | 35.1% | 34.3% |
| 11.1% | 39.9% | 39.2% | 38.5% | 37.8% | 37.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$8.76M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.88
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.