Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what LULU is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1,013.09
Method range
$39.87 – $1,013.09
median $299.93
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1,013.09 | +786.89% |
| Exit multiple | $444.31 | +288.96% |
| Analyst target | $155.55 | +36.17% |
| Graham number | $39.87 | -65.09% |
- Forward DCF$1,013.09
- Exit multiple$444.31
- Analyst target$155.55
- Graham number$39.87
Stock price
$114.23
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.75
3Y FCF CAGR
0.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$10.35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
32.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1003.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
0.3%
Your model implies
32.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 0% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | 28.5% | 27.4% | 26.1% | 24.7% | 23.2% |
| 7.9% | 31.6% | 30.6% | 29.6% | 28.5% | 27.2% |
| 8.9% | 34.4% | 33.6% | 32.7% | 31.7% | 30.7% |
| 9.9% | 37.0% | 36.3% | 35.5% | 34.7% | 33.8% |
| 10.9% | 39.5% | 38.8% | 38.1% | 37.4% | 36.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$9M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.86
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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