Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.47), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, MAA sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 15, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.53.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 2d+1.0d vs sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.47in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.47 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.00% | -0.13pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.05% | +1.66pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 14 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $1.53 |
| Per-event yield | 1.21% |
| Annualized yield | 4.61% |
| Previously paid | Apr 15, 2026 ($1.53) |
| Last record date | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 30, 2026 |
MAA Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.53 | -1.27% | $126.34 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.51% | -0.17% | |
| Q1 | $1.53 | -1.20% | $136.27 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.29% | +0.77% | |
| Q4 | $1.51 | -1.24% | $133.76 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.41% | +1.58% | |
| Q3 | $1.51 | -1.20% | $151.26 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.96% | +2.28% | |
| Q2 | $1.51 | -0.57% | $158.43 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.39% | +1.64% | |
| Q1 | $1.51 | 0.77% | $151.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.63% | -1.95% | |
| Q4 | $1.47 | -0.31% | $153.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +1.24% | |
| Q3 | $1.47 | -0.80% | $140.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.24% | +4.17% | |
| Q2 | $1.47 | -1.73% | $131.99 | 14 | no | yes | -6.26% | -3.36% | |
| Q1 | $1.47 | -1.79% | $132.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.47% | +3.12% | |
| Q4 | $1.40 | -1.36% | $134.02 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.38% | -1.28% | |
| Q3 | $1.40 | -1.28% | $157.27 | >30 | no | no | -3.83% | -1.42% | |
| Q2 | $1.40 | -1.10% | $149.15 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.53% | +1.09% | |
| Q1 | $1.40 | -0.47% | $160.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.94% | -2.33% | |
| Q4 | $1.25 | -2.49% | $145.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.75% | +2.58% | |
| Q3 | $1.25 | -2.34% | $168.84 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.48% | +2.85% | |
| Q2 | $1.09 | -0.78% | $207.67 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.15% | +2.83% | |
| Q1 | $1.09 | -0.20% | $216.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.94% | -5.88% | |
| Q4 | $1.02 | 0.00% | $196.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.40% | +2.27% | |
| Q3 | $1.02 | -0.56% | $180.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.56% | +3.40% |
- -0.17%
- +0.77%
- +1.58%
- +2.28%
- +1.64%
- -1.95%
- +1.24%
- +4.17%
- -3.36%
- +3.12%
- -1.28%
- -1.42%
- +1.09%
- -2.33%
- +2.58%
- +2.85%
- +2.83%
- -5.88%
- +2.27%
- +3.40%
MAA Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
MAA Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with MAA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $306.00
- After-tax dividend
- $198.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$25.27
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$173.63
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.69%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~34.6%
MAA Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical MAA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MAA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.57% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.94% | |
| -1.42% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +1.11% | |
| -3.36% | |
| +1.05% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +1.21% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.