Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MAR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$352.26
Method range
$343.59 – $393.50
median $352.26
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $352.26 | -4.74% |
| Exit multiple | $343.59 | -7.09% |
| Analyst target | $393.50 | +6.41% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$352.26
- Exit multiple$343.59
- Analyst target$393.50
- Graham number—
Stock price
$369.80
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.71
3Y FCF CAGR
33.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$343.46
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
34.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -7.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
33.8%
Your model implies
34.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 34% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | 31.1% | 30.2% | 29.2% | 28.2% | 27.0% |
| 9.2% | 33.8% | 33.0% | 32.2% | 31.3% | 30.3% |
| 10.2% | 36.3% | 35.6% | 34.9% | 34.1% | 33.3% |
| 11.2% | 38.7% | 38.1% | 37.4% | 36.8% | 36.0% |
| 12.2% | 41.0% | 40.4% | 39.9% | 39.2% | 38.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.75
Low vs growth
Net debt
$16.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.11
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Marriott International (MAR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks3.70% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.74% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History2 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.