MGRC dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.20), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, MGRC sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 17, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.20
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.20 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.41% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.45% | -0.43pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 7 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.50
Per-event yield
0.41%
Annualized yield
1.66%
Previously paid
Jul 17, 2026 ($0.50)
Last record date
Jul 17, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 31, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for McGrath RentCorp (MGRC). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.50 | -1.16% | $121.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.75% | -0.63% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | -0.64% | $115.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.08% | +0.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -0.66% | $111.26 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.34% | +2.83% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -0.46% | $117.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.23% | -2.35% | |
| Q3 | $0.49 | -0.01% | $117.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.37% | -0.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -0.46% | $106.58 | 7 | no | yes | -8.23% | -1.95% | |
| Q1 | $0.48 | 0.38% | $119.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.51% | +3.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.48 | -0.47% | $109.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.98% | -3.25% | |
| Q3 | $0.48 | -0.42% | $113.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.53% | -0.90% | |
| Q2 | $0.48 | 0.19% | $115.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.08% | -5.97% | |
| Q1 | $0.47 | -1.23% | $109.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.27% | +3.65% | |
| Q4 | $0.47 | 0.12% | $102.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.93% | -5.17% | |
| Q3 | $0.47 | -0.35% | $92.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.79% | -0.05% | |
| Q2 | $0.47 | 0.00% | $89.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.10% | +0.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -0.88% | $100.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.19% | -5.00% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | 0.13% | $84.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.68% | +2.74% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -2.10% | $76.23 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.93% | +4.83% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | -0.04% | $82.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.29% | +9.81% | |
| Q1 | $0.44 | -0.45% | $78.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.70% | -2.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.44 | 0.20% | $76.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.80% | +1.52% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with MGRC's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical MGRC ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.35%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+6.98%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+67.96%
Best event
+0.60%
Worst event
-1.95%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MGRC (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.57% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.40% | |
| -1.95% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.41% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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