Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MGRC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$252.46
Method range
$35.23 – $252.46
median $119.96
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $252.46 | +115.56% |
| Exit multiple | $99.93 | -14.68% |
| Analyst target | $140.00 | +19.54% |
| Graham number | $35.23 | -69.92% |
- Forward DCF$252.46
- Exit multiple$99.93
- Analyst target$140.00
- Graham number$35.23
Stock price
$117.12
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.39
3Y FCF CAGR
27.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$243.44
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
18.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 51.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
27.8%
Your model implies
18.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 28% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| 5.8% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.6% |
| 6.8% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 15.4% |
| 7.8% | 23.2% | 22.3% | 21.4% | 20.3% | 19.1% |
| 8.8% | 25.8% | 25.1% | 24.2% | 23.4% | 22.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$528M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.42
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.44% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.67% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.