Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MGRC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$252.15
Method range
$35.23 – $252.15
median $119.99
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $252.15 | +131.58% |
| Exit multiple | $99.97 | -8.18% |
| Analyst target | $140.00 | +28.58% |
| Graham number | $35.23 | -67.64% |
- Forward DCF$252.15
- Exit multiple$99.97
- Analyst target$140.00
- Graham number$35.23
Stock price
$108.88
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.39
3Y FCF CAGR
27.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$243.10
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
17.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 55.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
27.8%
Your model implies
17.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 28% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| 5.8% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% |
| 6.8% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 14.5% |
| 7.8% | 22.2% | 21.4% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 18.2% |
| 8.8% | 24.8% | 24.1% | 23.3% | 22.4% | 21.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$528M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.45
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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