Marathon Petroleum (MPC) — Daily Price Character
Historical session stats from dividend-adjusted prices: win rate, streaks, record days, weekday patterns, and (when available) how often the stock was green on S&P 500 green days.
Archetype
Balanced
Moderate daily swings — neither calm nor dramatic.
Win rate
53.4%
1983 green · 1703 red · 30 flat · 3716 sessions
Current streak
1 green
As of Apr 7, 2026
Max win / lose streak
17 / 9 days
Win streak return: +33.00% · Lose: 15.72%
Median / σ daily
+0.176% · 2.472%
Avg green +1.71% · avg red 1.74%
Extreme days (>3%)
15.3%
300 up · 267 down
History from Jun 27, 2011 through Apr 7, 2026 · 3716 trading days with returns.
Trailing year — daily returns (calendar)
Apr 8, 2025 – Apr 7, 2026 · Mon–Fri sessions only
Monday–Friday — average return
Average dividend-adjusted return on that weekday (green / red by sign). Green/red day rule: ±0.01% vs prior close.
Monday–Friday — win rate
Share of sessions that closed green on that weekday. Bars are green at or above 50%, red below 50%.
Top green days
Largest single-session gains (dividend-adjusted), by historical return.
| Date | Return |
|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2020 | +20.63% |
| Apr 29, 2020 | +16.24% |
| Apr 17, 2020 | +15.96% |
| Nov 9, 2020 | +15.49% |
| May 18, 2020 | +15.36% |
| Apr 6, 2020 | +15.06% |
| Mar 20, 2020 | +13.34% |
| Aug 9, 2011 | +11.57% |
| Apr 9, 2025 | +10.86% |
| Mar 26, 2020 | +9.60% |
| Feb 1, 2012 | +9.60% |
| Oct 5, 2011 | +9.47% |
| Jun 5, 2020 | +9.27% |
| Nov 21, 2016 | +8.93% |
| Mar 13, 2020 | +8.91% |
| Jul 10, 2020 | +8.52% |
| Nov 16, 2020 | +8.44% |
| Sep 25, 2019 | +8.43% |
| Jun 28, 2016 | +8.41% |
| Nov 13, 2020 | +8.24% |
Worst red days
Largest single-session losses; "Days to recovery" counts trading sessions until close recovered the prior peak (dividend-adjusted).
| Date | Return | Days to recovery |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2020 | 27.04% | 33 |
| Mar 16, 2020 | 18.58% | 18 |
| Mar 18, 2020 | 17.48% | 5 |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 13.60% | 60 |
| Aug 8, 2011 | 13.30% | 3 |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 13.06% | 24 |
| Mar 23, 2020 | 12.28% | 2 |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 11.79% | 43 |
| Apr 1, 2020 | 11.63% | 5 |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 10.17% | 195 |
| Jun 11, 2020 | 9.84% | 33 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | 9.37% | 352 |
| Aug 21, 2015 | 9.23% | 51 |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 9.14% | 47 |
| Sep 22, 2011 | 8.97% | 10 |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 8.88% | 217 |
| May 1, 2020 | 8.86% | 5 |
| Apr 15, 2020 | 8.85% | 8 |
| Apr 16, 2020 | 8.45% | 1 |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 8.31% | 243 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the daily win rate for Marathon Petroleum (MPC)?
- Historically, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) closed green on 53.4% of trading days (1983 green, 1703 red, 30 flat), using dividend-adjusted closes and a ±0.01% threshold for green vs red.
What is the current winning or losing streak for Marathon Petroleum (MPC)?
- As of 2026-04-07, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is on a 1-day winning streak (consecutive green or red days by the same rules, ignoring trailing flat days).
What does Steady, Balanced, or Explosive mean for Marathon Petroleum (MPC)?
- We label Marathon Petroleum (MPC) as "balanced" based on the sample standard deviation of daily returns: Moderate daily swings — neither calm nor dramatic.
What were the best and worst single trading days for Marathon Petroleum (MPC)?
- Largest single-day gain: +20.63%. Largest single-day loss: 27.04%. Tables on this page list the top record green and red days.
What counts as an "extreme" daily move for Marathon Petroleum (MPC)?
- We treat a day as extreme if the absolute dividend-adjusted daily return exceeds 3%. About 15.3% of trading days for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) were extreme (300 up, 267 down).
Data & methodology
How are green, red, and flat days defined?
- We use dividend-adjusted (or close-to-close for non-equity) daily returns. Green: return ≥ +0.01%. Red: return ≤ −0.01%. Flat: between those bounds.
How is the current streak calculated?
- We count consecutive green or consecutive red days using the same thresholds. If the most recent session is flat, we skip trailing flat days and measure from the last non-flat close.
What does “vs S&P 500” mean?
- On sessions where the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was green, we report how often this stock was also green. Shown only for USD equities when benchmark data exists and the symbol is not the index itself.
Where does the archetype come from?
- Sample standard deviation of daily returns: low → Steady, high → Explosive, otherwise Balanced. Labels describe typical daily volatility, not quality of the investment.