Marathon Petroleum (MPC) — Daily Price Character
Historical session stats from dividend-adjusted prices: win rate, streaks, record days, weekday patterns, and (when available) how often the stock was green on S&P 500 green days.
Archetype
Balanced
Moderate daily swings — neither calm nor dramatic.
Win rate
53.4%
2000 green · 1717 red · 30 flat · 3747 sessions
Current streak
1 red
As of May 20, 2026
Max win / lose streak
17 / 9 days
Win streak return: +33.00% · Lose: 15.72%
Median / σ daily
+0.176% · 2.472%
Avg green +1.71% · avg red 1.74%
Extreme days (>3%)
15.3%
303 up · 271 down
History from Jun 27, 2011 through May 20, 2026 · 3747 trading days with returns.
Trailing year — daily returns (calendar)
May 23, 2025 – May 20, 2026 · Mon–Fri sessions only
Monday–Friday — average return
Average dividend-adjusted return on that weekday (green / red by sign). Green/red day rule: ±0.01% vs prior close.
Monday–Friday — win rate
Share of sessions that closed green on that weekday. Bars are green at or above 50%, red below 50%.
Top green days
Largest single-session gains (dividend-adjusted), by historical return.
| Date | Return |
|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2020 | +20.63% |
| Apr 29, 2020 | +16.24% |
| Apr 17, 2020 | +15.96% |
| Nov 9, 2020 | +15.49% |
| May 18, 2020 | +15.36% |
| Apr 6, 2020 | +15.06% |
| Mar 20, 2020 | +13.34% |
| Aug 9, 2011 | +11.57% |
| Apr 9, 2025 | +10.86% |
| Mar 26, 2020 | +9.60% |
| Feb 1, 2012 | +9.60% |
| Oct 5, 2011 | +9.47% |
| Jun 5, 2020 | +9.27% |
| Nov 21, 2016 | +8.93% |
| Mar 13, 2020 | +8.91% |
| Jul 10, 2020 | +8.52% |
| Nov 16, 2020 | +8.44% |
| Sep 25, 2019 | +8.43% |
| Jun 28, 2016 | +8.41% |
| Nov 13, 2020 | +8.24% |
Worst red days
Largest single-session losses; "Days to recovery" counts trading sessions until close recovered the prior peak (dividend-adjusted).
| Date | Return | Days to recovery |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2020 | 27.04% | 33 |
| Mar 16, 2020 | 18.58% | 18 |
| Mar 18, 2020 | 17.48% | 5 |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 13.60% | 60 |
| Aug 8, 2011 | 13.30% | 3 |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 13.06% | 24 |
| Mar 23, 2020 | 12.28% | 2 |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 11.79% | 43 |
| Apr 1, 2020 | 11.63% | 5 |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 10.17% | 195 |
| Jun 11, 2020 | 9.84% | 33 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | 9.37% | 352 |
| Aug 21, 2015 | 9.23% | 51 |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 9.14% | 47 |
| Sep 22, 2011 | 8.97% | 10 |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 8.88% | 217 |
| May 1, 2020 | 8.86% | 5 |
| Apr 15, 2020 | 8.85% | 8 |
| Apr 16, 2020 | 8.45% | 1 |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 8.31% | 243 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the daily win rate for Marathon Petroleum (MPC)?
Historically, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) closed green on 53.4% of trading days (2000 green, 1717 red, 30 flat), using dividend-adjusted closes and a ±0.01% threshold for green vs red.
What is the current winning or losing streak for Marathon Petroleum (MPC)?
As of 2026-05-20, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is on a 1-day losing streak (consecutive green or red days by the same rules, ignoring trailing flat days).
What does Steady, Balanced, or Explosive mean for Marathon Petroleum (MPC)?
We label Marathon Petroleum (MPC) as "balanced" based on the sample standard deviation of daily returns: Moderate daily swings — neither calm nor dramatic.
What were the best and worst single trading days for Marathon Petroleum (MPC)?
Largest single-day gain: +20.63%. Largest single-day loss: 27.04%. Tables on this page list the top record green and red days.
What counts as an "extreme" daily move for Marathon Petroleum (MPC)?
We treat a day as extreme if the absolute dividend-adjusted daily return exceeds 3%. About 15.3% of trading days for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) were extreme (303 up, 271 down).
Data & methodology
How are green, red, and flat days defined?
We use dividend-adjusted (or close-to-close for non-equity) daily returns. Green: return ≥ +0.01%. Red: return ≤ −0.01%. Flat: between those bounds.
How is the current streak calculated?
We count consecutive green or consecutive red days using the same thresholds. If the most recent session is flat, we skip trailing flat days and measure from the last non-flat close.
What does “vs S&P 500” mean?
On sessions where the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was green, we report how often this stock was also green. Shown only for USD equities when benchmark data exists and the symbol is not the index itself.
Where does the archetype come from?
Sample standard deviation of daily returns: low → Steady, high → Explosive, otherwise Balanced. Labels describe typical daily volatility, not quality of the investment.
Explore more
MPC Overview
Company profile, financial tools, and key metrics
MPC Revenue Counter
Earns $4,305 every second. See per minute, hour, and day.
MPC Earnings Counter
Earns $146.88 per second net profit. See per minute, hour, and day.
MPC Economic Scale
Exceeds Puerto Rico (US)'s GDP. Compare with world economies.
MPC What If Invested
What if you had invested $1,000? See historical returns from any date.
MPC How It Makes Money
Discover visual breakdown of $135.75B in revenue — where it comes from and where it goes.
MPC Stock Seasonality
Best and worst months to invest. Historical monthly returns heatmap.
MPC Price Target Scenarios
Model bear, base, and bull cases with EPS growth and exit P/E — pre-filled from analysts and history.
MPC Buybacks
4.42% TTM buyback yield. Shareholder yield & SBC comparison.
MPC Stock Split History
1 split on record. Dates, ratios, and cumulative multiple.
MPC Dividend Profile
Yield: 1.51%. Safety: 5/8. See full history.
MPC Dividend Calculator
How much dividend income would $1,000 have earned? Calculate from any date.
MPC Dividend Forecast
Project future income with DRIP, growth assumptions, and optional monthly contributions.
MPC Dividend Capture
Historical pre-ex touch stats, gap distribution, after-tax calculator, and a backtest simulator (limit-order vs MOC exit).
MPC Financials
Revenue, EPS, EBITDA, market cap, debt and balance sheet history with annual and quarterly data.