Marathon Petroleum (MPC) seasonality heatmap
Returns across monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods. Cell color encodes signed magnitude; the scale auto-fits each table.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +8.3% | +13.1% | +23.2% | +1.7% | +0.2% | +6.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | +4.4% | +3.7% | -3.0% | -5.7% | +17.6% | +3.3% | +2.5% | +6.2% | +7.3% | +1.1% | -0.1% | -16.1% |
| 2024 | +11.6% | +2.7% | +19.1% | -9.8% | -2.3% | -1.8% | +2.0% | +0.5% | -8.0% | -10.7% | +8.0% | -10.7% |
| 2023 | +10.4% | -3.3% | +9.1% | -9.5% | -13.4% | +11.1% | +14.1% | +7.9% | +6.0% | -0.1% | -0.8% | -0.6% |
| 2022 | +12.1% | +9.3% | +9.8% | +2.1% | +17.4% | -19.2% | +11.5% | +10.6% | -1.4% | +14.4% | +7.9% | -4.4% |
| 2021 | +4.4% | +28.0% | -2.1% | +4.0% | +12.1% | -2.2% | -8.6% | +8.4% | +4.3% | +6.7% | -6.9% | +5.2% |
| 2020 | -9.5% | -12.1% | -50.2% | +35.9% | +11.4% | +6.4% | +2.2% | -5.8% | -17.2% | +0.5% | +33.7% | +6.4% |
| 2019 | +12.3% | -5.6% | -3.5% | +1.7% | -23.6% | +21.5% | +0.9% | -11.8% | +23.5% | +5.3% | -4.4% | -0.6% |
| 2018 | +5.0% | -6.9% | +14.1% | +2.5% | +6.1% | -11.2% | +15.2% | +2.4% | -2.8% | -11.9% | -6.8% | -9.4% |
| 2017 | -4.6% | +4.0% | +1.9% | +0.8% | +2.9% | +0.6% | +7.0% | -5.6% | +6.9% | +6.5% | +5.5% | +5.3% |
| 2016 | -19.4% | -17.2% | +8.6% | +5.1% | -10.0% | +9.0% | +3.8% | +8.9% | -4.5% | +7.4% | +8.8% | +7.1% |
| 2015 | +2.6% | +14.0% | -2.5% | -3.7% | +5.5% | +1.1% | +4.5% | -13.0% | -2.1% | +11.8% | +13.4% | -11.3% |
| 2014 | -5.1% | -3.1% | +3.6% | +6.8% | -3.4% | -12.7% | +6.9% | +9.6% | -7.0% | +7.4% | -0.4% | +0.2% |
| 2013 | +17.8% | +12.1% | +8.1% | -12.5% | +5.8% | -13.9% | +3.2% | -0.6% | -11.3% | +11.4% | +16.1% | +10.9% |
| 2012 | +14.8% | +9.4% | +4.3% | -4.0% | -12.7% | +24.5% | +5.3% | +10.2% | +5.5% | +0.6% | +9.1% | +5.8% |
| 2011 | — | — | — | — | — | — | +5.8% | -14.9% | -27.0% | +32.7% | -6.3% | -0.4% |
| Avg | +4.4% | +3.2% | +2.7% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +1.2% | +5.1% | +0.9% | -1.9% | +5.5% | +5.1% | -0.8% |
| Median | +5.0% | +3.7% | +4.3% | +1.7% | +2.9% | +0.8% | +4.5% | +2.4% | -2.1% | +6.5% | +5.5% | -0.4% |
| Last 5Y Avg | +9.4% | +5.1% | +11.6% | -4.3% | +3.9% | -1.8% | +4.3% | +6.7% | +1.6% | +2.3% | +1.6% | -5.3% |
| Std Dev (σ) | 10.2% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.0% |
| Consistency (μ/σ) | 0.43 | 0.27 | 0.16 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.88 | 0.10 | -0.16 | 0.52 | 0.47 | -0.11 |
| Win Rate (%) | 73% | 60% | 67% | 60% | 60% | 57% | 93% | 60% | 40% | 80% | 53% | 47% |
| Winning / Losing Months | ▲11▼4 | ▲9▼6 | ▲10▼5 | ▲9▼6 | ▲9▼6 | ▲8▼6 | ▲14▼1 | ▲9▼6 | ▲6▼9 | ▲12▼3 | ▲8▼7 | ▲7▼8 |
| Longest Win / Loss Streak | ▲6▼2 | ▲3▼3 | ▲3▼3 | ▲7▼3 | ▲3▼2 | ▲3▼2 | ▲10▼1 | ▲5▼2 | ▲1▼4 | ▲7▼2 | ▲3▼2 | ▲3▼4 |
| Best | +17.8%in January 2013 | +28.0%in February 2021 | +23.2%in March 2026 | +35.9%in April 2020 | +17.6%in May 2025 | +24.5%in June 2012 | +15.2%in July 2018 | +10.6%in August 2022 | +23.5%in September 2019 | +32.7%in October 2011 | +33.7%in November 2020 | +10.9%in December 2013 |
| Worst | -19.4%in January 2016 | -17.2%in February 2016 | -50.2%in March 2020 | -12.5%in April 2013 | -23.6%in May 2019 | -19.2%in June 2022 | -8.6%in July 2021 | -14.9%in August 2011 | -27.0%in September 2011 | -11.9%in October 2018 | -6.9%in November 2021 | -16.1%in December 2025 |
−50.2%+35.9%
2026
Jan+8.3%
Feb+13.1%
Mar+23.2%
Apr+1.7%
May+0.2%
Jun+6.0%
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec—
2025
Jan+4.4%
Feb+3.7%
Mar-3.0%
Apr-5.7%
May+17.6%
Jun+3.3%
Jul+2.5%
Aug+6.2%
Sep+7.3%
Oct+1.1%
Nov-0.1%
Dec-16.1%
2024
Jan+11.6%
Feb+2.7%
Mar+19.1%
Apr-9.8%
May-2.3%
Jun-1.8%
Jul+2.0%
Aug+0.5%
Sep-8.0%
Oct-10.7%
Nov+8.0%
Dec-10.7%
2023
Jan+10.4%
Feb-3.3%
Mar+9.1%
Apr-9.5%
May-13.4%
Jun+11.1%
Jul+14.1%
Aug+7.9%
Sep+6.0%
Oct-0.1%
Nov-0.8%
Dec-0.6%
2022
Jan+12.1%
Feb+9.3%
Mar+9.8%
Apr+2.1%
May+17.4%
Jun-19.2%
Jul+11.5%
Aug+10.6%
Sep-1.4%
Oct+14.4%
Nov+7.9%
Dec-4.4%
2021
Jan+4.4%
Feb+28.0%
Mar-2.1%
Apr+4.0%
May+12.1%
Jun-2.2%
Jul-8.6%
Aug+8.4%
Sep+4.3%
Oct+6.7%
Nov-6.9%
Dec+5.2%
2020
Jan-9.5%
Feb-12.1%
Mar-50.2%
Apr+35.9%
May+11.4%
Jun+6.4%
Jul+2.2%
Aug-5.8%
Sep-17.2%
Oct+0.5%
Nov+33.7%
Dec+6.4%
2019
Jan+12.3%
Feb-5.6%
Mar-3.5%
Apr+1.7%
May-23.6%
Jun+21.5%
Jul+0.9%
Aug-11.8%
Sep+23.5%
Oct+5.3%
Nov-4.4%
Dec-0.6%
2018
Jan+5.0%
Feb-6.9%
Mar+14.1%
Apr+2.5%
May+6.1%
Jun-11.2%
Jul+15.2%
Aug+2.4%
Sep-2.8%
Oct-11.9%
Nov-6.8%
Dec-9.4%
2017
Jan-4.6%
Feb+4.0%
Mar+1.9%
Apr+0.8%
May+2.9%
Jun+0.6%
Jul+7.0%
Aug-5.6%
Sep+6.9%
Oct+6.5%
Nov+5.5%
Dec+5.3%
2016
Jan-19.4%
Feb-17.2%
Mar+8.6%
Apr+5.1%
May-10.0%
Jun+9.0%
Jul+3.8%
Aug+8.9%
Sep-4.5%
Oct+7.4%
Nov+8.8%
Dec+7.1%
2015
Jan+2.6%
Feb+14.0%
Mar-2.5%
Apr-3.7%
May+5.5%
Jun+1.1%
Jul+4.5%
Aug-13.0%
Sep-2.1%
Oct+11.8%
Nov+13.4%
Dec-11.3%
2014
Jan-5.1%
Feb-3.1%
Mar+3.6%
Apr+6.8%
May-3.4%
Jun-12.7%
Jul+6.9%
Aug+9.6%
Sep-7.0%
Oct+7.4%
Nov-0.4%
Dec+0.2%
2013
Jan+17.8%
Feb+12.1%
Mar+8.1%
Apr-12.5%
May+5.8%
Jun-13.9%
Jul+3.2%
Aug-0.6%
Sep-11.3%
Oct+11.4%
Nov+16.1%
Dec+10.9%
2012
Jan+14.8%
Feb+9.4%
Mar+4.3%
Apr-4.0%
May-12.7%
Jun+24.5%
Jul+5.3%
Aug+10.2%
Sep+5.5%
Oct+0.6%
Nov+9.1%
Dec+5.8%
2011
Jan—
Feb—
Mar—
Apr—
May—
Jun—
Jul+5.8%
Aug-14.9%
Sep-27.0%
Oct+32.7%
Nov-6.3%
Dec-0.4%
Avg
Jan+4.4%
Feb+3.2%
Mar+2.7%
Apr+1.0%
May+0.9%
Jun+1.2%
Jul+5.1%
Aug+0.9%
Sep-1.9%
Oct+5.5%
Nov+5.1%
Dec-0.8%
Median
Jan+5.0%
Feb+3.7%
Mar+4.3%
Apr+1.7%
May+2.9%
Jun+0.8%
Jul+4.5%
Aug+2.4%
Sep-2.1%
Oct+6.5%
Nov+5.5%
Dec-0.4%
Last 5Y Avg
Jan+9.4%
Feb+5.1%
Mar+11.6%
Apr-4.3%
May+3.9%
Jun-1.8%
Jul+4.3%
Aug+6.7%
Sep+1.6%
Oct+2.3%
Nov+1.6%
Dec-5.3%
Std Dev (σ)
Jan10.2%
Feb11.6%
Mar16.7%
Apr11.3%
May12.0%
Jun12.9%
Jul5.8%
Aug9.1%
Sep11.9%
Oct10.6%
Nov10.9%
Dec8.0%
Consistency (μ/σ)
Jan0.43
Feb0.27
Mar0.16
Apr0.09
May0.07
Jun0.09
Jul0.88
Aug0.10
Sep-0.16
Oct0.52
Nov0.47
Dec-0.11
Win Rate (%)
Jan73%
Feb60%
Mar67%
Apr60%
May60%
Jun57%
Jul93%
Aug60%
Sep40%
Oct80%
Nov53%
Dec47%
Winning / Losing Months
Jan▲11▼4
Feb▲9▼6
Mar▲10▼5
Apr▲9▼6
May▲9▼6
Jun▲8▼6
Jul▲14▼1
Aug▲9▼6
Sep▲6▼9
Oct▲12▼3
Nov▲8▼7
Dec▲7▼8
Longest Win / Loss Streak
Jan▲6▼2
Feb▲3▼3
Mar▲3▼3
Apr▲7▼3
May▲3▼2
Jun▲3▼2
Jul▲10▼1
Aug▲5▼2
Sep▲1▼4
Oct▲7▼2
Nov▲3▼2
Dec▲3▼4
Best
Jan+17.8%2013
Feb+28.0%2021
Mar+23.2%2026
Apr+35.9%2020
May+17.6%2025
Jun+24.5%2012
Jul+15.2%2018
Aug+10.6%2022
Sep+23.5%2019
Oct+32.7%2011
Nov+33.7%2020
Dec+10.9%2013
Worst
Jan-19.4%2016
Feb-17.2%2016
Mar-50.2%2020
Apr-12.5%2013
May-23.6%2019
Jun-19.2%2022
Jul-8.6%2021
Aug-14.9%2011
Sep-27.0%2011
Oct-11.9%2018
Nov-6.9%2021
Dec-16.1%2025
−50.2%+35.9%
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