Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ORI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$205.60
Method range
$27.18 – $205.60
median $37.15
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $205.60 | +394.22% |
| Exit multiple | $32.29 | -22.38% |
| Analyst target | $42.00 | +0.96% |
| Graham number | $27.18 | -34.67% |
- Forward DCF$205.60
- Exit multiple$32.29
- Analyst target$42.00
- Graham number$27.18
Stock price
$41.60
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.15
3Y FCF CAGR
1.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$21.30
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
10.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -95.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
1.9%
Your model implies
10.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 2% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| 7.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% |
| 8.8% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.4% |
| 9.8% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 13.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.13
Low vs growth
Net debt
$1.33B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.63
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Old Republic International (ORI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks2.66% TTM
- Dividend Profile8.92% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History17 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.