Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PHM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$338.52
Method range
$1.94 – $338.52
median $105.58
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $338.52 | +167.08% |
| Exit multiple | $69.29 | -45.33% |
| Analyst target | $141.88 | +11.94% |
| Graham number | $1.94 | -98.47% |
- Forward DCF$338.52
- Exit multiple$69.29
- Analyst target$141.88
- Graham number$1.94
Stock price
$126.75
EPS (TTM)
$9.74
5Y EPS CAGR
16.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$338.52
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
2.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 62.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
16.5%
Your model implies
2.9%
Next-year analyst consensus
2.4%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.6% | 0.2% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -2.2% |
| 9.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | -0.0% |
| 10.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| 11.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| 12.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.39
Low vs growth
Net debt
$394M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.19
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
PulteGroup (PHM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks4.63% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.79% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History7 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.