Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$264.31
Method range
$147.66 – $264.31
median $189.60
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $264.31 | +48.25% |
| Exit multiple | $147.66 | -17.18% |
| Analyst target | $189.60 | +6.34% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$264.31
- Exit multiple$147.66
- Analyst target$189.60
- Graham number—
Stock price
$178.29
EPS (TTM)
$7.11
5Y EPS CAGR
7.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$264.31
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
2.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 32.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
7.1%
Your model implies
2.3%
Next-year analyst consensus
18.0%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -0.2% | -1.5% | -3.1% | -4.9% | -7.4% |
| 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | -1.0% | -2.6% | -4.5% |
| 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | -0.2% |
| 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.91
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$44.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.39
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Philip Morris International (PM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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