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Fair Value for PNC Financial Services Group (PNC)

See growth priced into PNC Financial Services Group (PNC): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what PNC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$1,073.14

Margin of safety
+78.72% vs current price $228.37

Method range

$122.09 $1,073.14

median $226.55

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$1,073.14
  • Exit multiple$200.46
  • Analyst target$252.63
  • Graham number$122.09

Stock price

$228.37

FCF / share (TTM)

$4.69

3Y FCF CAGR

-10.0%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$29.44

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

17.8%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -675.8% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

-10.0%

Your model implies

17.8%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)9.1%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)-10%
3Y CAGR -10%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -10% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.1%14.2%13.4%12.4%11.3%10.0%
8.1%16.8%16.0%15.2%14.3%13.3%
9.1%19.2%18.5%17.8%17.0%16.2%
10.1%21.4%20.8%20.2%19.5%18.8%
11.1%23.4%22.9%22.4%21.8%21.2%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday11.9
5Y low10.8
Median11.9
5Y high15.1
P/SToday2.6
5Y low1.9
Median2.6
5Y high4.3
EV/EBITDAToday11.6
5Y low4.1
Median11.6
5Y high12.3

Net debt

$17.4B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.92

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions