Pentair (PNR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.13), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, PNR sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 24, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.27.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.13-0.05 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.13 | -0.05 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.18% | +0.17pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.30% | -0.27pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 3 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.27 |
| Per-event yield | 0.30% |
| Annualized yield | 1.43% |
| Previously paid | Apr 17, 2026 ($0.27) |
| Last record date | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Last payment date | May 1, 2026 |
PNR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Pentair (PNR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.27 | 1.05% | $88.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.42% | +3.70% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.07% | $108.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.07% | -2.31% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | 1.12% | $110.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.47% | -3.70% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | 0.12% | $106.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.71% | -3.16% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.09% | $80.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.73% | +11.81% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.06% | $104.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.18% | -0.40% | |
| Q4 | $0.23 | 0.13% | $99.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.67% | -0.10% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -0.80% | $79.79 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.08% | +11.20% | |
| Q2 | $0.23 | 0.37% | $79.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.82% | +0.32% | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | 0.24% | $69.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.44% | +3.61% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | -0.26% | $62.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.54% | -6.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | -0.81% | $66.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.36% | +4.07% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | -2.23% | $52.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.71% | +9.35% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | -1.41% | $50.24 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.66% | +1.13% | |
| Q4 | $0.21 | -0.32% | $40.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.94% | +3.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | -0.14% | $48.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.33% | +0.16% | |
| Q2 | $0.21 | -0.39% | $54.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.05% | -2.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.21 | 0.39% | $66.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.45% | -7.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -0.57% | $73.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.16% | +0.87% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | 0.06% | $69.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.93% | +5.22% |
- +3.70%
- -2.31%
- -3.70%
- -3.16%
- +11.81%
- -0.40%
- -0.10%
- +11.20%
- +0.32%
- +3.61%
- -6.30%
- +4.07%
- +9.35%
- +1.13%
- +3.46%
- +0.16%
- -2.01%
- -7.06%
- +0.87%
- +5.22%
PNR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
PNR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with PNR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $54.00
- After-tax dividend
- $35.10
- Slippage round-trip
- -$17.75
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$17.35
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.10%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~4.9%
PNR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical PNR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · PNR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.29% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.30% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.