Public Storage (PSA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.51), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, PSA sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 14, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 90%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 2din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.51+0.07 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.51 | +0.07 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.73% | +0.14pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.08% | -0.37pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 21 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
| Dividend | $3.00 |
| Per-event yield | 1.01% |
| Annualized yield | 3.74% |
| Previously paid | Mar 16, 2026 ($3.00) |
| Last record date | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 31, 2026 |
PSA Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Public Storage (PSA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $3.00 | -2.15% | $297.72 | 21 | no | yes | -11.67% | -7.86% | |
| Q4 | $3.00 | -0.05% | $274.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.52% | -3.84% | |
| Q3 | $3.00 | -0.30% | $292.32 | 13 | no | yes | -4.81% | -3.30% | |
| Q2 | $3.00 | -0.71% | $300.16 | 13 | no | yes | -5.08% | -2.36% | |
| Q1 | $3.00 | -1.06% | $303.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.59% | -1.31% | |
| Q4 | $3.00 | -1.40% | $320.79 | >30 | no | no | -10.01% | -6.33% | |
| Q3 | $3.00 | -0.51% | $359.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.25% | +1.56% | |
| Q2 | $3.00 | 1.22% | $274.64 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.36% | +7.40% | |
| Q1 | $3.00 | -1.44% | $291.68 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.74% | -3.90% | |
| Q4 | $3.00 | -1.52% | $276.83 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.07% | +7.60% | |
| Q3 | $3.00 | -1.44% | $276.59 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.68% | -1.16% | |
| Q2 | $3.00 | -1.97% | $287.69 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.36% | +1.07% | |
| Q1 | $3.00 | 0.21% | $289.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.75% | +2.19% | |
| Q4 | $2.00 | 1.78% | $301.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.18% | -5.69% | |
| Q3 | $2.00 | -1.82% | $339.51 | >30 | no | no | -15.66% | -9.20% | |
| Q3 | $13.15 | -3.81% | $337.10 | 7 | no | yes | -5.07% | +2.15% | |
| Q2 | $2.00 | -0.42% | $297.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.37% | +3.61% | |
| Q1 | $2.00 | 0.79% | $360.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.52% | +3.42% | |
| Q4 | $2.00 | 0.20% | $355.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.16% | +2.42% | |
| Q3 | $2.00 | -0.28% | $321.20 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.64% | -2.26% |
- -7.86%
- -3.84%
- -3.30%
- -2.36%
- -1.31%
- -6.33%
- +1.56%
- +7.40%
- -3.90%
- +7.60%
- -1.16%
- +1.07%
- +2.19%
- -5.69%
- -9.20%
- +2.15%
- +3.61%
- +3.42%
- +2.42%
- -2.26%
PSA Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
PSA Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with PSA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $600.00
- After-tax dividend
- $390.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$59.54
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$330.46
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.55%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~28.0%
PSA Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical PSA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · PSA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.62% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +2.15% | |
| -9.20% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +1.08% | |
| +1.08% | |
| +1.03% | |
| +1.09% | |
| +0.84% | |
| -6.33% | |
| +0.99% | |
| -2.36% | |
| -3.30% | |
| +1.09% | |
| -7.86% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.