Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what RSG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$594.72
Method range
$38.49 – $594.72
median $225.21
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $594.72 | +183.15% |
| Exit multiple | $211.13 | +0.52% |
| Analyst target | $239.29 | +13.93% |
| Graham number | $38.49 | -81.68% |
- Forward DCF$594.72
- Exit multiple$211.13
- Analyst target$239.29
- Graham number$38.49
Stock price
$210.04
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.43
3Y FCF CAGR
13.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$151.31
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
18.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -38.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
13.8%
Your model implies
18.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 14% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% |
| 5.6% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% |
| 6.6% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 15.1% |
| 7.6% | 23.2% | 22.3% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 19.0% |
| 8.6% | 25.8% | 25.0% | 24.2% | 23.3% | 22.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$520M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.41
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Republic Services (RSG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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