Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what RSG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$583.36
Method range
$38.49 – $583.36
median $224.85
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $583.36 | +169.42% |
| Exit multiple | $210.87 | -2.61% |
| Analyst target | $238.83 | +10.30% |
| Graham number | $38.49 | -82.23% |
- Forward DCF$583.36
- Exit multiple$210.87
- Analyst target$238.83
- Graham number$38.49
Stock price
$216.52
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.43
3Y FCF CAGR
13.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$148.49
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
18.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -45.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
13.8%
Your model implies
18.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 14% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| 5.7% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 10.9% |
| 6.7% | 20.9% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 15.7% |
| 7.7% | 23.8% | 22.9% | 21.9% | 20.8% | 19.6% |
| 8.7% | 26.4% | 25.7% | 24.8% | 23.9% | 22.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$520M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.41
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Republic Services (RSG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.64% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.15% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.