Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SHW is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$191.64
Method range
$29.72 – $373.88
median $267.26
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $191.64 | -37.23% |
| Exit multiple | $342.88 | +12.31% |
| Analyst target | $373.88 | +22.46% |
| Graham number | $29.72 | -90.27% |
- Forward DCF$191.64
- Exit multiple$342.88
- Analyst target$373.88
- Graham number$29.72
Stock price
$305.30
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.00
3Y FCF CAGR
11.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$0.08
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
100.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -376360.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
11.1%
Your model implies
100.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 11% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 9.2% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 10.2% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 11.2% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 12.2% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.98
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$14.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.13
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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