Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SWK is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$6.10
Method range
$6.10 – $124.90
median $55.77
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $6.10 | -92.22% |
| Exit multiple | $124.90 | +59.15% |
| Analyst target | $88.67 | +12.98% |
| Graham number | $22.86 | -70.87% |
- Forward DCF$6.10
- Exit multiple$124.90
- Analyst target$88.67
- Graham number$22.86
Stock price
$78.48
EPS (TTM)
$2.44
5Y EPS CAGR
-23.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$6.10
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
15.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1185.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-23.6%
Your model implies
15.3%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 120% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% |
| 9.6% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% |
| 10.6% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 14.1% |
| 11.6% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 16.3% |
| 12.6% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 18.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$5.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.20
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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