Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TMUS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2,359.53
Method range
$51.00 – $2,359.53
median $237.17
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $2,359.53 | +1,224.83% |
| Exit multiple | $224.91 | +26.28% |
| Analyst target | $249.42 | +40.04% |
| Graham number | $51.00 | -71.36% |
- Forward DCF$2,359.53
- Exit multiple$224.91
- Analyst target$249.42
- Graham number$51.00
Stock price
$178.10
FCF / share (TTM)
$4.18
3Y FCF CAGR
57.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$6727.08
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
7.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 97.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
57.0%
Your model implies
7.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 57% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 7.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | -1.7% |
| 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | -1.4% |
| 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| 7.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% |
| 8.1% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.12
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$116.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.30
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
T-Mobile US (TMUS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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