United Parcel Service (UPS) seasonality heatmap
Returns across monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods. Cell color encodes signed magnitude; the scale auto-fits each table.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +7.1% | +10.7% | -15.2% | +10.6% | -1.9% | +1.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | -9.4% | +5.7% | -7.6% | -13.4% | +4.0% | +3.5% | -14.6% | +3.4% | -4.5% | +15.4% | +1.1% | +3.6% |
| 2024 | -9.7% | +5.7% | +0.3% | -0.8% | -4.7% | -1.5% | -4.7% | -0.1% | +6.1% | -1.7% | +2.5% | -7.1% |
| 2023 | +6.5% | -0.6% | +6.3% | -7.3% | -6.2% | +7.3% | +4.4% | -8.7% | -8.0% | -9.4% | +8.6% | +3.7% |
| 2022 | -5.7% | +4.8% | +1.9% | -16.1% | +2.1% | +0.2% | +6.8% | +0.5% | -16.9% | +3.9% | +14.1% | -8.4% |
| 2021 | -8.0% | +2.5% | +7.7% | +19.9% | +5.8% | -3.1% | -8.0% | +2.8% | -6.9% | +17.2% | -6.6% | +8.0% |
| 2020 | -11.6% | -11.7% | +3.2% | +1.3% | +6.5% | +11.5% | +28.4% | +15.3% | +1.8% | -5.7% | +9.5% | -1.6% |
| 2019 | +8.1% | +5.5% | +1.4% | -4.9% | -11.7% | +11.1% | +15.7% | +0.2% | +1.0% | -3.9% | +4.8% | -2.2% |
| 2018 | +6.9% | -17.3% | +0.2% | +8.5% | +3.1% | -8.5% | +12.9% | +3.3% | -5.0% | -8.8% | +9.1% | -15.4% |
| 2017 | -4.8% | -2.3% | +1.5% | +0.2% | -0.6% | +4.4% | -0.3% | +4.5% | +5.0% | -2.1% | +4.1% | -1.9% |
| 2016 | -3.1% | +4.4% | +9.2% | -0.4% | -1.1% | +4.5% | +0.3% | +1.8% | +0.1% | -1.5% | +8.3% | -1.1% |
| 2015 | -11.1% | +3.7% | -4.7% | +3.7% | -0.6% | -2.3% | +5.6% | -3.9% | +1.1% | +4.4% | +0.7% | -6.6% |
| 2014 | -9.4% | +1.3% | +1.7% | +1.2% | +6.2% | -1.2% | -5.4% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +6.7% | +5.4% | +1.1% |
| 2013 | +7.5% | +5.0% | +3.9% | -0.1% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +0.4% | -0.7% | +6.8% | +7.5% | +4.9% | +2.6% |
| 2012 | +3.4% | +2.5% | +4.9% | -3.2% | -3.4% | +5.1% | -4.0% | -1.6% | -3.0% | +2.4% | +0.6% | +0.8% |
| 2011 | -1.3% | +3.7% | +0.7% | +0.9% | -1.3% | -0.8% | -5.1% | -1.9% | -6.3% | +11.2% | +2.9% | +2.0% |
| 2010 | +0.7% | +2.5% | +9.6% | +7.4% | -8.6% | -9.3% | +14.3% | -1.2% | +4.6% | +1.0% | +4.8% | +3.5% |
| 2009 | -23.0% | -2.1% | +19.5% | +6.3% | -1.5% | -2.2% | +7.5% | +0.4% | +5.6% | -5.0% | +7.9% | -0.2% |
| 2008 | +3.2% | -3.1% | +4.0% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -13.5% | +2.6% | +2.4% | -1.9% | -16.1% | +10.1% | -4.2% |
| 2007 | -3.6% | -2.3% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +2.8% | +1.4% | +3.7% | +0.2% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -1.3% | -4.0% |
| 2006 | -0.3% | +0.2% | +6.3% | +2.1% | -0.2% | +2.2% | -16.3% | +2.2% | +2.7% | +4.7% | +3.9% | -3.8% |
| 2005 | -12.6% | +4.2% | -6.1% | -2.0% | +3.8% | -6.1% | +5.5% | -2.4% | -2.5% | +5.5% | +7.3% | -3.5% |
| 2004 | -4.4% | -0.5% | -1.1% | +0.4% | +2.7% | +4.8% | -4.3% | +1.9% | +3.9% | +4.3% | +6.6% | +1.5% |
| 2003 | -4.3% | -4.3% | -0.9% | +9.0% | +0.8% | +2.0% | -1.0% | -0.1% | +1.7% | +13.7% | +0.7% | +2.4% |
| 2002 | +5.5% | +2.9% | +3.2% | -1.2% | +0.9% | +2.3% | +5.8% | -1.9% | -2.2% | -4.0% | +5.9% | -0.4% |
| 2001 | +5.3% | -8.4% | +0.7% | +0.9% | +3.8% | -2.8% | -1.7% | -2.5% | -5.9% | -1.9% | +10.6% | -3.1% |
| 2000 | -13.1% | -8.6% | +15.3% | +5.6% | -9.7% | -1.5% | -0.4% | -5.4% | +1.7% | +7.8% | +0.2% | -3.2% |
| 1999 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +4.5% |
| Avg | -3.0% | +0.1% | +2.4% | +1.0% | -0.4% | +0.3% | +1.9% | +0.4% | -0.8% | +1.8% | +4.9% | -1.2% |
| Median | -3.6% | +2.5% | +1.7% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +4.9% | -1.1% |
| Last 5Y Avg | -2.2% | +5.3% | -2.9% | -5.4% | -1.4% | +1.3% | -3.2% | -0.4% | -6.1% | +5.1% | +3.9% | -0.0% |
| Std Dev (σ) | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% |
| Consistency (μ/σ) | -0.38 | 0.02 | 0.36 | 0.15 | -0.08 | 0.05 | 0.20 | 0.09 | -0.15 | 0.22 | 1.09 | -0.25 |
| Win Rate (%) | 37% | 59% | 74% | 59% | 48% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 92% | 41% |
| Winning / Losing Months | ▲10▼17 | ▲16▼11 | ▲20▼7 | ▲16▼11 | ▲13▼14 | ▲14▼12 | ▲14▼12 | ▲14▼12 | ▲14▼12 | ▲14▼12 | ▲24▼2 | ▲11▼16 |
| Longest Win / Loss Streak | ▲2▼5 | ▲7▼3 | ▲9▼3 | ▲3▼4 | ▲5▼5 | ▲3▼4 | ▲4▼2 | ▲7▼4 | ▲5▼3 | ▲6▼5 | ▲13▼1 | ▲5▼6 |
| Best | +8.1%in January 2019 | +10.7%in February 2026 | +19.5%in March 2009 | +19.9%in April 2021 | +6.5%in May 2020 | +11.5%in June 2020 | +28.4%in July 2020 | +15.3%in August 2020 | +6.8%in September 2013 | +17.2%in October 2021 | +14.1%in November 2022 | +8.0%in December 2021 |
| Worst | -23.0%in January 2009 | -17.3%in February 2018 | -15.2%in March 2026 | -16.1%in April 2022 | -11.7%in May 2019 | -13.5%in June 2008 | -16.3%in July 2006 | -8.7%in August 2023 | -16.9%in September 2022 | -16.1%in October 2008 | -6.6%in November 2021 | -15.4%in December 2018 |
−23.0%+28.4%
2026
Jan+7.1%
Feb+10.7%
Mar-15.2%
Apr+10.6%
May-1.9%
Jun+1.3%
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec—
2025
Jan-9.4%
Feb+5.7%
Mar-7.6%
Apr-13.4%
May+4.0%
Jun+3.5%
Jul-14.6%
Aug+3.4%
Sep-4.5%
Oct+15.4%
Nov+1.1%
Dec+3.6%
2024
Jan-9.7%
Feb+5.7%
Mar+0.3%
Apr-0.8%
May-4.7%
Jun-1.5%
Jul-4.7%
Aug-0.1%
Sep+6.1%
Oct-1.7%
Nov+2.5%
Dec-7.1%
2023
Jan+6.5%
Feb-0.6%
Mar+6.3%
Apr-7.3%
May-6.2%
Jun+7.3%
Jul+4.4%
Aug-8.7%
Sep-8.0%
Oct-9.4%
Nov+8.6%
Dec+3.7%
2022
Jan-5.7%
Feb+4.8%
Mar+1.9%
Apr-16.1%
May+2.1%
Jun+0.2%
Jul+6.8%
Aug+0.5%
Sep-16.9%
Oct+3.9%
Nov+14.1%
Dec-8.4%
2021
Jan-8.0%
Feb+2.5%
Mar+7.7%
Apr+19.9%
May+5.8%
Jun-3.1%
Jul-8.0%
Aug+2.8%
Sep-6.9%
Oct+17.2%
Nov-6.6%
Dec+8.0%
2020
Jan-11.6%
Feb-11.7%
Mar+3.2%
Apr+1.3%
May+6.5%
Jun+11.5%
Jul+28.4%
Aug+15.3%
Sep+1.8%
Oct-5.7%
Nov+9.5%
Dec-1.6%
2019
Jan+8.1%
Feb+5.5%
Mar+1.4%
Apr-4.9%
May-11.7%
Jun+11.1%
Jul+15.7%
Aug+0.2%
Sep+1.0%
Oct-3.9%
Nov+4.8%
Dec-2.2%
2018
Jan+6.9%
Feb-17.3%
Mar+0.2%
Apr+8.5%
May+3.1%
Jun-8.5%
Jul+12.9%
Aug+3.3%
Sep-5.0%
Oct-8.8%
Nov+9.1%
Dec-15.4%
2017
Jan-4.8%
Feb-2.3%
Mar+1.5%
Apr+0.2%
May-0.6%
Jun+4.4%
Jul-0.3%
Aug+4.5%
Sep+5.0%
Oct-2.1%
Nov+4.1%
Dec-1.9%
2016
Jan-3.1%
Feb+4.4%
Mar+9.2%
Apr-0.4%
May-1.1%
Jun+4.5%
Jul+0.3%
Aug+1.8%
Sep+0.1%
Oct-1.5%
Nov+8.3%
Dec-1.1%
2015
Jan-11.1%
Feb+3.7%
Mar-4.7%
Apr+3.7%
May-0.6%
Jun-2.3%
Jul+5.6%
Aug-3.9%
Sep+1.1%
Oct+4.4%
Nov+0.7%
Dec-6.6%
2014
Jan-9.4%
Feb+1.3%
Mar+1.7%
Apr+1.2%
May+6.2%
Jun-1.2%
Jul-5.4%
Aug+0.9%
Sep+1.0%
Oct+6.7%
Nov+5.4%
Dec+1.1%
2013
Jan+7.5%
Feb+5.0%
Mar+3.9%
Apr-0.1%
May+0.8%
Jun+0.7%
Jul+0.4%
Aug-0.7%
Sep+6.8%
Oct+7.5%
Nov+4.9%
Dec+2.6%
2012
Jan+3.4%
Feb+2.5%
Mar+4.9%
Apr-3.2%
May-3.4%
Jun+5.1%
Jul-4.0%
Aug-1.6%
Sep-3.0%
Oct+2.4%
Nov+0.6%
Dec+0.8%
2011
Jan-1.3%
Feb+3.7%
Mar+0.7%
Apr+0.9%
May-1.3%
Jun-0.8%
Jul-5.1%
Aug-1.9%
Sep-6.3%
Oct+11.2%
Nov+2.9%
Dec+2.0%
2010
Jan+0.7%
Feb+2.5%
Mar+9.6%
Apr+7.4%
May-8.6%
Jun-9.3%
Jul+14.3%
Aug-1.2%
Sep+4.6%
Oct+1.0%
Nov+4.8%
Dec+3.5%
2009
Jan-23.0%
Feb-2.1%
Mar+19.5%
Apr+6.3%
May-1.5%
Jun-2.2%
Jul+7.5%
Aug+0.4%
Sep+5.6%
Oct-5.0%
Nov+7.9%
Dec-0.2%
2008
Jan+3.2%
Feb-3.1%
Mar+4.0%
Apr-0.8%
May-1.3%
Jun-13.5%
Jul+2.6%
Aug+2.4%
Sep-1.9%
Oct-16.1%
Nov+10.1%
Dec-4.2%
2007
Jan-3.6%
Feb-2.3%
Mar-0.1%
Apr+0.5%
May+2.8%
Jun+1.4%
Jul+3.7%
Aug+0.2%
Sep-0.4%
Oct+0.0%
Nov-1.3%
Dec-4.0%
2006
Jan-0.3%
Feb+0.2%
Mar+6.3%
Apr+2.1%
May-0.2%
Jun+2.2%
Jul-16.3%
Aug+2.2%
Sep+2.7%
Oct+4.7%
Nov+3.9%
Dec-3.8%
2005
Jan-12.6%
Feb+4.2%
Mar-6.1%
Apr-2.0%
May+3.8%
Jun-6.1%
Jul+5.5%
Aug-2.4%
Sep-2.5%
Oct+5.5%
Nov+7.3%
Dec-3.5%
2004
Jan-4.4%
Feb-0.5%
Mar-1.1%
Apr+0.4%
May+2.7%
Jun+4.8%
Jul-4.3%
Aug+1.9%
Sep+3.9%
Oct+4.3%
Nov+6.6%
Dec+1.5%
2003
Jan-4.3%
Feb-4.3%
Mar-0.9%
Apr+9.0%
May+0.8%
Jun+2.0%
Jul-1.0%
Aug-0.1%
Sep+1.7%
Oct+13.7%
Nov+0.7%
Dec+2.4%
2002
Jan+5.5%
Feb+2.9%
Mar+3.2%
Apr-1.2%
May+0.9%
Jun+2.3%
Jul+5.8%
Aug-1.9%
Sep-2.2%
Oct-4.0%
Nov+5.9%
Dec-0.4%
2001
Jan+5.3%
Feb-8.4%
Mar+0.7%
Apr+0.9%
May+3.8%
Jun-2.8%
Jul-1.7%
Aug-2.5%
Sep-5.9%
Oct-1.9%
Nov+10.6%
Dec-3.1%
2000
Jan-13.1%
Feb-8.6%
Mar+15.3%
Apr+5.6%
May-9.7%
Jun-1.5%
Jul-0.4%
Aug-5.4%
Sep+1.7%
Oct+7.8%
Nov+0.2%
Dec-3.2%
1999
Jan—
Feb—
Mar—
Apr—
May—
Jun—
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec+4.5%
Avg
Jan-3.0%
Feb+0.1%
Mar+2.4%
Apr+1.0%
May-0.4%
Jun+0.3%
Jul+1.9%
Aug+0.4%
Sep-0.8%
Oct+1.8%
Nov+4.9%
Dec-1.2%
Median
Jan-3.6%
Feb+2.5%
Mar+1.7%
Apr+0.5%
May-0.2%
Jun+0.4%
Jul+0.4%
Aug+0.2%
Sep+0.6%
Oct+1.7%
Nov+4.9%
Dec-1.1%
Last 5Y Avg
Jan-2.2%
Feb+5.3%
Mar-2.9%
Apr-5.4%
May-1.4%
Jun+1.3%
Jul-3.2%
Aug-0.4%
Sep-6.1%
Oct+5.1%
Nov+3.9%
Dec-0.0%
Std Dev (σ)
Jan8.0%
Feb6.1%
Mar6.8%
Apr7.1%
May4.7%
Jun5.8%
Jul9.4%
Aug4.2%
Sep5.4%
Oct7.9%
Nov4.5%
Dec4.8%
Consistency (μ/σ)
Jan-0.38
Feb0.02
Mar0.36
Apr0.15
May-0.08
Jun0.05
Jul0.20
Aug0.09
Sep-0.15
Oct0.22
Nov1.09
Dec-0.25
Win Rate (%)
Jan37%
Feb59%
Mar74%
Apr59%
May48%
Jun54%
Jul54%
Aug54%
Sep54%
Oct54%
Nov92%
Dec41%
Winning / Losing Months
Jan▲10▼17
Feb▲16▼11
Mar▲20▼7
Apr▲16▼11
May▲13▼14
Jun▲14▼12
Jul▲14▼12
Aug▲14▼12
Sep▲14▼12
Oct▲14▼12
Nov▲24▼2
Dec▲11▼16
Longest Win / Loss Streak
Jan▲2▼5
Feb▲7▼3
Mar▲9▼3
Apr▲3▼4
May▲5▼5
Jun▲3▼4
Jul▲4▼2
Aug▲7▼4
Sep▲5▼3
Oct▲6▼5
Nov▲13▼1
Dec▲5▼6
Best
Jan+8.1%2019
Feb+10.7%2026
Mar+19.5%2009
Apr+19.9%2021
May+6.5%2020
Jun+11.5%2020
Jul+28.4%2020
Aug+15.3%2020
Sep+6.8%2013
Oct+17.2%2021
Nov+14.1%2022
Dec+8.0%2021
Worst
Jan-23.0%2009
Feb-17.3%2018
Mar-15.2%2026
Apr-16.1%2022
May-11.7%2019
Jun-13.5%2008
Jul-16.3%2006
Aug-8.7%2023
Sep-16.9%2022
Oct-16.1%2008
Nov-6.6%2021
Dec-15.4%2018
−23.0%+28.4%
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