John Wiley & Sons (WLY) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.30), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, WLY sits roughly in line with the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Jul 7, 2026 (±5 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 90%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.30in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.30 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.96% | -0.47pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.96% | -1.21pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 19 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±5 days.
| Dividend | $0.35 |
| Per-event yield | 0.92% |
| Annualized yield | 3.71% |
| Previously paid | Apr 7, 2026 ($0.35) |
| Last record date | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 23, 2026 |
WLY Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for John Wiley & Sons (WLY). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.35 | -1.06% | $38.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.03% | +4.25% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | -1.48% | $31.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.93% | -0.44% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | -1.35% | $38.65 | >30 | no | no | -7.01% | -3.32% | |
| Q3 | $0.35 | -0.86% | $41.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.72% | -1.90% | |
| Q2 | $0.35 | 1.10% | $40.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.41% | +5.90% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | -1.09% | $44.95 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.72% | -3.67% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | -0.26% | $50.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.19% | +0.26% | |
| Q3 | $0.35 | -1.14% | $44.70 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.46% | +8.89% | |
| Q2 | $0.35 | -0.83% | $38.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.38% | -2.66% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | -0.75% | $33.55 | 19 | no | yes | -9.24% | -7.54% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | -1.20% | $34.92 | >30 | no | no | -17.41% | -14.95% | |
| Q3 | $0.35 | -1.75% | $34.19 | 6 | no | yes | -6.00% | +0.38% | |
| Q2 | $0.35 | -1.50% | $37.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.61% | +2.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | -0.70% | $39.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.52% | +4.25% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | -1.98% | $38.48 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.96% | -1.65% | |
| Q3 | $0.35 | -2.58% | $48.07 | 14 | no | yes | -6.10% | -3.29% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | -0.69% | $54.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.20% | -3.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.34 | -0.14% | $55.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.51% | +4.10% | |
| Q4 | $0.34 | -0.56% | $53.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.39% | -0.10% | |
| Q3 | $0.34 | -0.37% | $60.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.38% | -1.16% |
- +4.25%
- -0.44%
- -3.32%
- -1.90%
- +5.90%
- -3.67%
- +0.26%
- +8.89%
- -2.66%
- -7.54%
- -14.95%
- +0.38%
- +2.50%
- +4.25%
- -1.65%
- -3.29%
- -3.33%
- +4.10%
- -0.10%
- -1.16%
WLY Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
WLY Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with WLY's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $72.00
- After-tax dividend
- $46.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$7.70
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$39.10
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.51%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~25.6%
WLY Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical WLY ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · WLY (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.57% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.63% | |
| -3.29% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +0.38% | |
| -14.95% | |
| -7.54% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.85% | |
| -3.32% | |
| +1.14% | |
| +0.92% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.