Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what WLY is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$121.74
Method range
$30.63 – $121.74
median $95.02
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $121.74 | +146.09% |
| Exit multiple | $95.02 | +92.08% |
| Analyst target | — | — |
| Graham number | $30.63 | -38.08% |
- Forward DCF$121.74
- Exit multiple$95.02
- Analyst target—
- Graham number$30.63
Stock price
$49.47
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.70
3Y FCF CAGR
-3.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$28.94
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
3.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -70.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-3.6%
Your model implies
3.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | 0.3% | -0.5% | -1.5% | -2.5% | -3.8% |
| 7.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | -0.6% |
| 8.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.01
Low vs growth
Net debt
$693M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.77
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
John Wiley & Sons (WLY) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks4.66% TTM
- Dividend Profile2.88% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History5 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.