Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ZBRA is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$59.33
Method range
$59.33 – $620.18
median $188.40
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $59.33 | -74.44% |
| Exit multiple | $620.18 | +167.19% |
| Analyst target | $312.33 | +34.56% |
| Graham number | $64.47 | -72.23% |
- Forward DCF$59.33
- Exit multiple$620.18
- Analyst target$312.33
- Graham number$64.47
Stock price
$232.11
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.24
3Y FCF CAGR
-3.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$22.08
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
31.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -951.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-3.5%
Your model implies
31.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.7% | 28.0% | 27.4% | 26.8% | 26.2% | 25.5% |
| 11.7% | 30.2% | 29.7% | 29.1% | 28.5% | 27.9% |
| 12.7% | 32.2% | 31.8% | 31.2% | 30.7% | 30.2% |
| 13.7% | 34.2% | 33.8% | 33.3% | 32.8% | 32.3% |
| 14.7% | 36.1% | 35.7% | 35.3% | 34.9% | 34.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.20
Low vs growth
Net debt
$2.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.63
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Zebra Technologies (ZBRA) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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