ABBV dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
AbbVie (ABBV) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.48), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ABBV sits noticeably below the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 14, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.48
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.48 | +0.33 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.08% | -0.74pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.81% | +0.50pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 7 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$1.73
Per-event yield
0.71%
Annualized yield
2.80%
Previously paid
Jul 15, 2026 ($1.73)
Last record date
Jul 15, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 14, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for AbbVie (ABBV). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $1.73 | -0.60% | $244.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.70% | +4.19% | |
| Q2 | $1.73 | -0.60% | $210.26 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.67% | -3.82% | |
| Q1 | $1.73 | -0.53% | $216.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.13% | +2.65% | |
| Q4 | $1.64 | -0.84% | $229.13 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.10% | +0.52% | |
| Q3 | $1.64 | -0.68% | $191.52 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.60% | -1.45% | |
| Q2 | $1.64 | -0.78% | $179.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.90% | -0.28% | |
| Q1 | $1.64 | -1.16% | $175.55 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.27% | -1.85% | |
| Q4 | $1.55 | -0.47% | $195.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.99% | -2.73% | |
| Q3 | $1.55 | -0.80% | $170.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.77% | +2.87% | |
| Q2 | $1.55 | -1.83% | $167.52 | 7 | no | yes | -4.49% | +0.26% | |
| Q1 | $1.55 | -0.63% | $163.78 | 5 | yes | yes | -1.70% | +1.93% | |
| Q4 | $1.48 | -0.81% | $149.34 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.02% | -1.57% | |
| Q3 | $1.48 | -1.52% | $134.98 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.69% | +6.44% | |
| Q2 | $1.48 | -0.84% | $162.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.43% | +0.53% | |
| Q1 | $1.48 | -1.38% | $157.17 | >30 | no | no | -6.83% | -3.88% | |
| Q4 | $1.41 | -2.34% | $139.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.65% | +3.11% | |
| Q3 | $1.41 | -2.14% | $152.15 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.03% | -1.97% | |
| Q2 | $1.41 | -1.38% | $167.31 | >30 | no | no | -8.65% | -4.41% | |
| Q1 | $1.41 | -1.67% | $137.29 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.58% | -2.84% | |
| Q4 | $1.30 | -0.53% | $108.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.54% | +1.41% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 8 | 40% | |
| 2–3 days | 7 | 35% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with ABBV's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical ABBV ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.38%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+7.53%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+153.31%
Best event
+1.20%
Worst event
-4.41%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ABBV (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.20% | |
| +1.03% | |
| -4.41% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +1.01% | |
| -3.88% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +1.10% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.71% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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