Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ADC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$35.31
Method range
$24.66 – $84.19
median $53.32
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $35.31 | -55.99% |
| Exit multiple | $71.33 | -11.09% |
| Analyst target | $84.19 | +4.95% |
| Graham number | $24.66 | -69.26% |
- Forward DCF$35.31
- Exit multiple$71.33
- Analyst target$84.19
- Graham number$24.66
Stock price
$80.22
EPS (TTM)
$1.86
5Y EPS CAGR
0.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$35.31
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
10.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -127.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
0.3%
Your model implies
10.5%
Next-year analyst consensus
4.3%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | -1.4% |
| 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| 7.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| 8.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% |
| 9.0% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 14.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
5.90
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$3.34B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.47
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Agree Realty (ADC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.