Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ADC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$35.23
Method range
$24.66 – $83.94
median $51.67
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $35.23 | -52.01% |
| Exit multiple | $68.12 | -7.21% |
| Analyst target | $83.94 | +14.34% |
| Graham number | $24.66 | -66.41% |
- Forward DCF$35.23
- Exit multiple$68.12
- Analyst target$83.94
- Graham number$24.66
Stock price
$73.41
EPS (TTM)
$1.86
5Y EPS CAGR
0.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$35.23
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
9.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -108.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
0.3%
Your model implies
9.4%
Next-year analyst consensus
4.1%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | -2.3% |
| 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| 7.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% |
| 8.0% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% |
| 9.0% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
5.69
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$3.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.50
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Agree Realty (ADC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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