AEE dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Ameren (AEE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.44), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AEE sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 8, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.44
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.44 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.72% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.84% | +0.90pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 23 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
Dividend
$0.75
Per-event yield
0.70%
Annualized yield
2.70%
Previously paid
Jun 9, 2026 ($0.75)
Last record date
Jun 9, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 30, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Ameren (AEE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.75 | -0.24% | $107.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.94% | +3.81% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | -1.14% | $111.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.95% | +1.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.71 | -0.34% | $99.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.77% | -0.62% | |
| Q3 | $0.71 | -1.02% | $99.99 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.09% | -0.72% | |
| Q2 | $0.71 | -0.46% | $95.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.53% | -0.88% | |
| Q1 | $0.71 | -0.88% | $99.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.18% | +1.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -0.58% | $91.24 | 23 | no | yes | -5.30% | -3.99% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -1.01% | $84.91 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.50% | +0.45% | |
| Q2 | $0.67 | 0.11% | $71.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.91% | +0.36% | |
| Q1 | $0.67 | -1.36% | $73.65 | 13 | no | yes | -4.14% | -1.18% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | -0.91% | $78.18 | 2 | yes | yes | -9.63% | -6.65% | |
| Q3 | $0.63 | -0.61% | $79.27 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.44% | +1.99% | |
| Q2 | $0.63 | -1.59% | $83.53 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.57% | +0.36% | |
| Q1 | $0.63 | -0.02% | $83.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.34% | +1.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.59 | -0.91% | $87.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.41% | +4.81% | |
| Q3 | $0.59 | -0.31% | $92.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.21% | +0.80% | |
| Q2 | $0.59 | -1.10% | $93.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.48% | -9.94% | |
| Q1 | $0.59 | -0.11% | $89.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.73% | -0.58% | |
| Q4 | $0.55 | -0.64% | $85.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.25% | +2.09% | |
| Q3 | $0.55 | -1.21% | $88.11 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.12% | -1.85% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with AEE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AEE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.39%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+7.79%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+37.32%
Best event
+0.94%
Worst event
-3.99%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AEE (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.62% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.81% | |
| -1.18% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +0.79% | |
| -3.99% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.70% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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