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Fair Value for Ameren (AEE)

See growth priced into Ameren (AEE): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what AEE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$211.62

Margin of safety
+48.36% vs current price $109.27

Method range

$37.74 $211.62

median $110.72

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$211.62
  • Exit multiple$101.12
  • Analyst target$120.33
  • Graham number$37.74

Stock price

$109.27

EPS (TTM)

$5.56

5Y EPS CAGR

8.9%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$211.62

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

0.7%

per year over your projection horizon

Discount vs DCF

Margin of safety 48.4% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

8.9%

Your model implies

0.7%

Next-year analyst consensus

-3.3%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)7.0%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
5.0%-3.1%-4.3%-5.8%-7.6%-9.9%
6.0%-0.2%-1.1%-2.2%-3.5%-5.0%
7.0%2.3%1.5%0.7%-0.3%-1.4%
8.0%4.5%3.9%3.2%2.4%1.5%
9.0%6.6%6.0%5.4%4.8%4.1%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday18.6
5Y low16.5
Median20.1
5Y high23.0
P/SToday3.1
5Y low2.5
Median3.1
5Y high3.6
EV/EBITDAToday12.7
5Y low10.4
Median12.0
5Y high13.0

PEG

0.55

Low vs growth

Net debt

$19.8B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.49

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: -4.01 to 5.35 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions