Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AEP is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$247.16
Method range
$46.14 – $247.16
median $123.31
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $247.16 | +86.53% |
| Exit multiple | $106.16 | -19.88% |
| Analyst target | $140.45 | +6.00% |
| Graham number | $46.14 | -65.18% |
- Forward DCF$247.16
- Exit multiple$106.16
- Analyst target$140.45
- Graham number$46.14
Stock price
$132.50
EPS (TTM)
$6.77
5Y EPS CAGR
8.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$247.16
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
0.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 46.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
8.5%
Your model implies
0.8%
Next-year analyst consensus
-6.2%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.1% | -2.9% | -4.1% | -5.5% | -7.3% | -9.5% |
| 6.1% | -0.1% | -1.0% | -2.0% | -3.3% | -4.7% |
| 7.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | -0.1% | -1.2% |
| 8.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.43
Low vs growth
Net debt
$50B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.50
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
American Electric Power Company (AEP) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
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- Dividend Calculator
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- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.