Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AEP is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$240.36
Method range
$46.14 – $240.36
median $123.70
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $240.36 | +80.62% |
| Exit multiple | $106.05 | -20.31% |
| Analyst target | $141.36 | +6.23% |
| Graham number | $46.14 | -65.33% |
- Forward DCF$240.36
- Exit multiple$106.05
- Analyst target$141.36
- Graham number$46.14
Stock price
$133.07
EPS (TTM)
$6.77
5Y EPS CAGR
8.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$240.36
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
1.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 44.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
8.5%
Your model implies
1.2%
Next-year analyst consensus
-6.2%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.2% | -2.5% | -3.7% | -5.0% | -6.7% | -8.8% |
| 6.2% | 0.3% | -0.6% | -1.6% | -2.8% | -4.2% |
| 7.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | -0.8% |
| 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.43
Low vs growth
Net debt
$50B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.50
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
American Electric Power Company (AEP) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks
- Dividend Profile2.84% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.