AIG dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
American International Group (AIG) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.26), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AIG sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 14, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.26
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.26 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.41% | +0.17pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.39% | +2.01pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 3 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$0.50
Per-event yield
0.66%
Annualized yield
2.47%
Previously paid
Jun 15, 2026 ($0.50)
Last record date
Jun 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 29, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for American International Group (AIG). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.50 | -0.45% | $75.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.55% | +1.70% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | -0.31% | $76.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.95% | -1.56% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -0.03% | $86.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.29% | +0.86% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.97% | $77.03 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.47% | +0.16% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | -0.93% | $85.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.48% | +0.55% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -0.60% | $83.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.77% | +1.77% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | -0.63% | $72.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.98% | -0.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | 0.26% | $73.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.47% | +2.17% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -1.35% | $74.11 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +3.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.36 | -0.07% | $75.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.38% | +1.59% | |
| Q4 | $0.36 | -0.58% | $66.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.88% | +0.04% | |
| Q3 | $0.36 | 0.58% | $60.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.66% | +1.71% | |
| Q2 | $0.36 | -1.58% | $55.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.79% | -0.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.32 | -2.15% | $47.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.80% | -1.00% | |
| Q4 | $0.32 | -0.22% | $63.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.57% | +0.14% | |
| Q3 | $0.32 | -0.46% | $54.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.27% | -4.93% | |
| Q2 | $0.32 | 0.96% | $52.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.65% | -4.04% | |
| Q1 | $0.32 | 0.92% | $58.55 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.21% | +6.18% | |
| Q4 | $0.32 | -0.15% | $54.66 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.14% | +1.70% | |
| Q3 | $0.32 | -0.42% | $54.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.46% | -0.73% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with AIG's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AIG ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.57%
Win rate (20 trades)
100%
Cumulative P&L
+11.34%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+51.50%
Best event
+0.67%
Worst event
+0.47%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AIG (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.59% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.66% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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