Stock price
$78.78
TTM EPS
$5.47
Scenario calculator
Enter EPS growth and exit P/E per scenario. The chart starts at the current share price (Now) and transitions the P/E from today's trailing multiple toward your Exit P/E over the horizon. Same live price and TTM EPS as the rest of the page.
Base case: with about 41% growth per year and a 13× exit multiple over 5 years, the model lands AIG near $415.96 — an implied about a 39.5% CAGR.
Your base case implies a $104.32 12-month target. Save it to join the community consensus.
Implied price path (by year)
Paths start at $78.78 (Now); the P/E transitions from today's trailing multiple toward Exit P/E by the horizon year.
At horizon (2031)
| Scenario | Price | Total return | CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | $113.34 | +43.9% | +7.5% |
| Base | $415.96 | +428.0% | +39.5% |
| Bull | $560.22 | +611.1% | +48.0% |
- Bear$113.34
- Base$415.96
- Bull$560.22
Sensitivity (base case)
Sensitivity grid — sweeps EPS growth and exit P/E around your base inputs. Simple mode only; bear, bull, and Advanced (revenue) paths are not included.
Implied share price at the horizon for each combination: EPS growth in the rows, exit P/E in the columns; other settings stay fixed.
| Row axis: EPS growth. Column axis: exit P/E.Exit P/E →↓ EPS growth | 3× | 8× | 13× | 18× | 23× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | $75 | $181 | $288 | $395 | $502 |
| 36% | $90 | $219 | $347 | $476 | $605 |
| 41% | $108 | $262 | $416 | $570 | $724 |
| 46% | $128 | $312 | $495 | $678 | $862 |
| 51% | $152 | $369 | $585 | $802 | $1,019 |
Shade depth: darker fill within the same color band means a higher implied price in that cell (across the grid).
Annual diluted EPS
GAAP diluted EPS by fiscal year — use as context for growth assumptions above, not a forecast. Across 14 fiscal years, diluted EPS went from about $2.04 in 2012 to about $5.43 in 2025.
Diluted EPS year-over-year change
Percent change vs the previous fiscal year. If a fiscal year is missing, the comparison is to the prior available year. Year-over-year EPS change in this window ranged from a high of +200.5% to a low of -282.9%.
Your EPS growth vs next-year analyst consensus
Same basis for every column: one-step implied EPS growth (next-year average estimate vs TTM). Consensus uses 12 EPS estimates. Δ (pts) is your growth minus consensus in percentage points, not "percent of consensus."