Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AIG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$167.25
Method range
$48.94 – $167.25
median $93.18
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $167.25 | +121.55% |
| Exit multiple | $100.64 | +33.32% |
| Analyst target | $85.71 | +13.54% |
| Graham number | $48.94 | -35.16% |
- Forward DCF$167.25
- Exit multiple$100.64
- Analyst target$85.71
- Graham number$48.94
Stock price
$75.49
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.29
3Y FCF CAGR
-5.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3.36
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
35.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2146.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-5.2%
Your model implies
35.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.3% | 30.0% | 28.3% | 26.3% | 24.0% | 21.0% |
| 6.3% | 34.0% | 32.7% | 31.2% | 29.4% | 27.4% |
| 7.3% | 37.5% | 36.4% | 35.2% | 33.8% | 32.3% |
| 8.3% | 40.7% | 39.7% | 38.7% | 37.6% | 36.3% |
| 9.3% | 43.6% | 42.8% | 41.9% | 40.9% | 39.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
3.01
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$7.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.54
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
American International Group (AIG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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