Albemarle (ALB) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 84% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.06), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ALB sits noticeably below the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 11, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 84%-11pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.06-0.15 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 84% | -11pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.06 | -0.15 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.46% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 30% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -8.33% | -3.62pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 22 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
| Dividend | $0.41 |
| Per-event yield | 0.25% |
| Annualized yield | 0.95% |
| Previously paid | Mar 13, 2026 ($0.41) |
| Last record date | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 1, 2026 |
ALB Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Albemarle (ALB). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.41 | 0.11% | $163.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.61% | -4.14% | |
| Q4 | $0.41 | 1.12% | $134.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.49% | +8.69% | |
| Q3 | $0.41 | -1.08% | $75.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.61% | +9.59% | |
| Q2 | $0.41 | -2.05% | $62.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.53% | -6.81% | |
| Q1 | $0.41 | 2.47% | $72.40 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.00% | +7.69% | |
| Q4 | $0.41 | -1.26% | $103.30 | >30 | no | no | -15.49% | -13.79% | |
| Q3 | $0.41 | 0.45% | $88.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.45% | -2.33% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -1.04% | $108.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.73% | -10.56% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -2.62% | $125.79 | 5 | yes | yes | -7.17% | -0.42% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | 2.46% | $140.06 | 1 | yes | yes | 1.22% | +4.13% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | 0.85% | $184.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.23% | -8.26% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -0.68% | $226.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.93% | -2.74% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -0.80% | $214.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.54% | +0.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | -2.88% | $247.86 | 22 | no | yes | -15.11% | -8.67% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -1.60% | $307.05 | >30 | no | no | -15.22% | -11.24% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -0.96% | $253.62 | >30 | no | no | -21.67% | -20.13% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -1.78% | $191.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.78% | +12.18% | |
| Q4 | $0.39 | 1.21% | $239.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.05% | -4.80% | |
| Q3 | $0.39 | -0.72% | $233.98 | 22 | no | yes | -10.15% | -1.90% | |
| Q2 | $0.39 | -0.05% | $174.37 | 21 | no | yes | -9.49% | -5.80% |
- -4.14%
- +8.69%
- +9.59%
- -6.81%
- +7.69%
- -13.79%
- -2.33%
- -10.56%
- -0.42%
- +4.13%
- -8.26%
- -2.74%
- +0.76%
- -8.67%
- -11.24%
- -20.13%
- +12.18%
- -4.80%
- -1.90%
- -5.80%
ALB Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
ALB Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ALB's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $82.00
- After-tax dividend
- $53.30
- Slippage round-trip
- -$32.78
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$20.52
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.06%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~3.2%
ALB Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ALB ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ALB (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -5.80% | |
| -1.90% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.21% | |
| -20.13% | |
| -11.24% | |
| -8.67% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.46% | |
| -13.79% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.25% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.