Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ALB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
—
Method range
$71.36 – $209.75
median $159.24
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | — | — |
| Exit multiple | $159.24 | +2.44% |
| Analyst target | $209.75 | +34.94% |
| Graham number | $71.36 | -54.09% |
- Forward DCF—
- Exit multiple$159.24
- Analyst target$209.75
- Graham number$71.36
Stock price
$155.44
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.10
3Y FCF CAGR
2.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$24.80
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
28.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -526.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
2.4%
Your model implies
28.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 2% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.1% | 24.8% | 24.1% | 23.4% | 22.5% | 21.6% |
| 10.1% | 27.2% | 26.5% | 25.9% | 25.2% | 24.4% |
| 11.1% | 29.4% | 28.8% | 28.2% | 27.6% | 26.9% |
| 12.1% | 31.5% | 31.0% | 30.5% | 29.9% | 29.3% |
| 13.1% | 33.5% | 33.1% | 32.6% | 32.1% | 31.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.31
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Albemarle (ALB) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation