AUBN dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Auburn National Bancorporation (AUBN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.55), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AUBN sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 9, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.55
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.55 | +0.25 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.05% | -0.46pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 25% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -7.58% | -3.18pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 25 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.27
Per-event yield
1.08%
Annualized yield
4.30%
Previously paid
Jun 10, 2026 ($0.27)
Last record date
Jun 10, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 25, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Auburn National Bancorporation (AUBN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.27 | 2.20% | $25.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.72% | +1.08% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.66% | $24.31 | 3 | yes | yes | -13.57% | -1.77% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | 4.44% | $25.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.48% | +7.80% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -9.93% | $27.19 | 12 | no | yes | -10.63% | -4.63% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | 1.62% | $21.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.00% | +1.57% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -2.43% | $21.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.05% | +1.05% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -3.69% | $23.88 | 12 | no | yes | -7.58% | -1.42% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -1.48% | $20.27 | 5 | yes | yes | -11.20% | +0.89% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.21% | $19.00 | 25 | no | yes | -13.26% | -2.26% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | 0.24% | $20.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.00% | -4.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | 0.24% | $21.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.05% | -2.52% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.87% | $21.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.57% | -2.07% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -2.51% | $21.55 | 2 | yes | yes | -12.76% | -6.03% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -2.95% | $24.37 | 14 | no | yes | -7.84% | -2.17% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.61% | $22.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.96% | -0.59% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.31% | $25.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.58% | -3.79% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.30% | $30.03 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.50% | -1.91% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -3.57% | $33.87 | 9 | no | yes | -4.46% | -2.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.26 | -1.91% | $34.12 | >30 | no | no | -8.21% | -6.24% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | 1.72% | $34.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.36% | -0.34% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 50% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with AUBN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AUBN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.17%
Win rate (20 trades)
70%
Cumulative P&L
-3.49%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-12.64%
Best event
+1.33%
Worst event
-6.24%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AUBN (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.74% | |
| -6.24% | |
| -2.79% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +1.15% | |
| -2.17% | |
| +1.25% | |
| +1.24% | |
| +1.29% | |
| +1.32% | |
| -2.26% | |
| +1.33% | |
| -1.42% | |
| +1.29% | |
| +1.25% | |
| -4.63% | |
| +1.08% | |
| +1.11% | |
| +1.08% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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