Edison International (EIX) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 3 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.60), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, EIX sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Jul 7, 2026 (±4 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 90%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 3d+2.0d vs sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.60+0.14 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 3d | +2.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.60 | +0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.23% | -0.55pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.77% | in line with sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 13 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±4 days.
| Dividend | $0.88 |
| Per-event yield | 1.19% |
| Annualized yield | 4.70% |
| Previously paid | Apr 7, 2026 ($0.88) |
| Last record date | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 30, 2026 |
EIX Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Edison International (EIX). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.88 | -1.89% | $73.59 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.00% | -0.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.88 | -1.27% | $60.51 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.80% | +3.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.83 | -0.62% | $54.80 | 6 | no | yes | -5.11% | +3.83% | |
| Q3 | $0.83 | -2.30% | $52.55 | 13 | no | yes | -6.49% | -1.45% | |
| Q2 | $0.83 | -3.20% | $54.75 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.85% | +6.02% | |
| Q1 | $0.83 | -1.06% | $78.44 | >30 | no | no | -29.54% | -20.80% | |
| Q4 | $0.78 | -0.94% | $86.18 | 8 | no | yes | -3.74% | -1.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.78 | -1.12% | $72.40 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.51% | +1.98% | |
| Q1 | $0.78 | -0.35% | $68.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.43% | +3.52% | |
| Q4 | $0.78 | -2.07% | $71.91 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.07% | +2.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.74 | -0.46% | $65.30 | 11 | no | yes | -9.92% | -5.93% | |
| Q3 | $0.74 | -1.40% | $69.45 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.59% | +0.96% | |
| Q1 | $0.74 | -0.76% | $69.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.76% | +5.01% | |
| Q4 | $0.74 | -0.91% | $65.02 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.54% | +3.98% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -1.42% | $61.31 | >30 | no | no | -9.46% | -3.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -0.79% | $63.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.55% | -0.06% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | -0.62% | $69.73 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.23% | +3.60% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | -1.33% | $68.44 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.82% | -4.56% | |
| Q3 | $0.66 | -1.16% | $57.12 | 7 | no | yes | -3.75% | +0.27% | |
| Q3 | $0.66 | -0.98% | $57.91 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.38% | +1.65% |
- -0.47%
- +3.28%
- +3.83%
- -1.45%
- +6.02%
- -20.80%
- -1.00%
- +1.98%
- +3.52%
- +2.00%
- -5.93%
- +0.96%
- +5.01%
- +3.98%
- -3.20%
- -0.06%
- +3.60%
- -4.56%
- +0.27%
- +1.65%
EIX Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 3 | 15% | |
| 2–3 days | 8 | 40% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
EIX Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with EIX's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $176.00
- After-tax dividend
- $114.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$14.72
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$99.68
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.68%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~34.1%
EIX Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical EIX ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · EIX (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.14% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +1.11% | |
| -3.20% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.06% | |
| +1.06% | |
| -5.93% | |
| +1.08% | |
| +1.14% | |
| +1.08% | |
| -1.00% | |
| -20.80% | |
| +1.51% | |
| -1.45% | |
| +3.83% | |
| +1.45% | |
| +1.19% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.