Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what EQR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$52.88
Method range
$12.38 – $70.88
median $44.13
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $52.88 | -22.45% |
| Exit multiple | $35.38 | -48.12% |
| Analyst target | $70.88 | +3.94% |
| Graham number | $12.38 | -81.84% |
- Forward DCF$52.88
- Exit multiple$35.38
- Analyst target$70.88
- Graham number$12.38
Stock price
$68.19
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.89
3Y FCF CAGR
4.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$17.75
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
21.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -284.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
4.2%
Your model implies
21.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 12.4% |
| 7.4% | 20.8% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 16.5% |
| 8.4% | 23.5% | 22.7% | 21.9% | 20.9% | 19.9% |
| 9.4% | 26.0% | 25.3% | 24.5% | 23.7% | 22.9% |
| 10.4% | 28.3% | 27.7% | 27.0% | 26.3% | 25.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$8.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.76
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Equity Residential (EQR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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