Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what HTO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$109.27
Method range
$23.35 – $109.27
median $62.29
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $109.27 | +90.27% |
| Exit multiple | $62.78 | +9.31% |
| Analyst target | $61.80 | +7.61% |
| Graham number | $23.35 | -59.34% |
- Forward DCF$109.27
- Exit multiple$62.78
- Analyst target$61.80
- Graham number$23.35
Stock price
$57.43
EPS (TTM)
$2.92
5Y EPS CAGR
6.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$109.27
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-1.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 47.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
6.4%
Your model implies
-1.3%
Next-year analyst consensus
-5.9%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -3.1% | -4.3% | -5.8% | -7.6% | -9.9% |
| 5.3% | -2.2% | -3.3% | -4.6% | -6.2% | -8.2% |
| 6.3% | 0.6% | -0.3% | -1.3% | -2.5% | -3.8% |
| 7.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | -0.5% |
| 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.63
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$2.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.35
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
H2O America (HTO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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