Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what HTO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$107.20
Method range
$23.35 – $107.20
median $63.53
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $107.20 | +67.69% |
| Exit multiple | $64.07 | +0.22% |
| Analyst target | $63.00 | -1.45% |
| Graham number | $23.35 | -63.47% |
- Forward DCF$107.20
- Exit multiple$64.07
- Analyst target$63.00
- Graham number$23.35
Stock price
$63.93
EPS (TTM)
$2.92
5Y EPS CAGR
6.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$107.20
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
0.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 40.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
6.4%
Your model implies
0.2%
Next-year analyst consensus
-3.9%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -1.8% | -3.1% | -4.6% | -6.4% | -8.8% |
| 5.4% | -0.7% | -1.8% | -3.2% | -4.8% | -6.7% |
| 6.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | -1.0% | -2.3% |
| 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.64
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$1.96B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.34
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
H2O America (HTO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.