Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PEP is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$207.72
Method range
$28.29 – $207.72
median $181.31
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $207.72 | +53.13% |
| Exit multiple | $206.97 | +52.58% |
| Analyst target | $155.64 | +14.74% |
| Graham number | $28.29 | -79.14% |
- Forward DCF$207.72
- Exit multiple$206.97
- Analyst target$155.64
- Graham number$28.29
Stock price
$135.65
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.10
3Y FCF CAGR
2.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$28.51
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
22.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -375.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
2.6%
Your model implies
22.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 3% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 10.0% |
| 5.5% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.6% |
| 6.5% | 24.6% | 23.4% | 22.1% | 20.6% | 19.0% |
| 7.5% | 27.7% | 26.7% | 25.6% | 24.5% | 23.1% |
| 8.5% | 30.5% | 29.6% | 28.7% | 27.8% | 26.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.59
Low vs growth
Net debt
$40.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.37
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
PepsiCo (PEP) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.50% TTM
- Dividend Profile4.24% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History4 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.