Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PEP is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$172.98
Method range
$24.53 – $209.25
median $172.42
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $172.98 | +21.88% |
| Exit multiple | $209.25 | +47.44% |
| Analyst target | $171.86 | +21.10% |
| Graham number | $24.53 | -82.71% |
- Forward DCF$172.98
- Exit multiple$209.25
- Analyst target$171.86
- Graham number$24.53
Stock price
$141.92
EPS (TTM)
$6.37
5Y EPS CAGR
3.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$172.98
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
0.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 18.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
3.3%
Your model implies
0.9%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 35.9% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -1.6% | -2.9% | -4.4% | -6.2% | -8.6% |
| 5.5% | -0.0% | -1.1% | -2.4% | -3.9% | -5.7% |
| 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | -0.2% | -1.5% |
| 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$40.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.39
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
PepsiCo (PEP) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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