Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PFE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$22.93
Method range
$12.97 – $50.86
median $24.97
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $22.93 | -11.94% |
| Exit multiple | $50.86 | +95.33% |
| Analyst target | $27.00 | +3.69% |
| Graham number | $12.97 | -50.19% |
- Forward DCF$22.93
- Exit multiple$50.86
- Analyst target$27.00
- Graham number$12.97
Stock price
$26.04
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.38
3Y FCF CAGR
-25.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.19
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
12.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2087.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-25.7%
Your model implies
12.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -26% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| 5.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| 6.0% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% |
| 7.0% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 13.7% |
| 8.0% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 17.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$66.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.29
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Pfizer (PFE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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