Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$222.08
Method range
$28.87 – $222.08
median $158.80
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $222.08 | +48.92% |
| Exit multiple | $157.85 | +5.84% |
| Analyst target | $159.75 | +7.12% |
| Graham number | $28.87 | -80.64% |
- Forward DCF$222.08
- Exit multiple$157.85
- Analyst target$159.75
- Graham number$28.87
Stock price
$149.13
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.25
3Y FCF CAGR
-1.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$23.35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
21.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -538.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-1.1%
Your model implies
21.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 9.6% |
| 5.6% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 13.6% |
| 6.6% | 24.3% | 23.2% | 21.9% | 20.5% | 18.8% |
| 7.6% | 27.4% | 26.4% | 25.4% | 24.2% | 22.9% |
| 8.6% | 30.2% | 29.3% | 28.5% | 27.5% | 26.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$25.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.38
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Procter & Gamble (PG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.39% TTM
- Dividend Profile2.15% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History6 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.