Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$227.59
Method range
$28.87 – $227.59
median $160.13
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $227.59 | +55.31% |
| Exit multiple | $158.37 | +8.07% |
| Analyst target | $161.88 | +10.47% |
| Graham number | $28.87 | -80.30% |
- Forward DCF$227.59
- Exit multiple$158.37
- Analyst target$161.88
- Graham number$28.87
Stock price
$146.54
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.25
3Y FCF CAGR
-1.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$23.88
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
21.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -513.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-1.1%
Your model implies
21.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 9.4% |
| 5.5% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.8% |
| 6.5% | 23.8% | 22.6% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 18.2% |
| 7.5% | 26.9% | 25.9% | 24.8% | 23.7% | 22.3% |
| 8.5% | 29.7% | 28.8% | 27.9% | 27.0% | 25.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$25.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.39
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Procter & Gamble (PG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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