Williams-Sonoma (WSM) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.25), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, WSM sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 17, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.76.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.25in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.25 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.25% | +0.23pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.92% | -0.24pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 6 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.76 |
| Per-event yield | 0.40% |
| Annualized yield | 1.25% |
| Previously paid | Apr 17, 2026 ($0.76) |
| Last record date | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Last payment date | May 22, 2026 |
WSM Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Williams-Sonoma (WSM). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.76 | 1.51% | $191.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.74% | -0.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.66 | -0.02% | $210.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.15% | -2.22% | |
| Q4 | $0.66 | -0.44% | $187.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.48% | +1.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.66 | 0.55% | $170.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.49% | +7.15% | |
| Q2 | $0.66 | 0.43% | $137.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.31% | +10.34% | |
| Q1 | $0.57 | 1.33% | $199.13 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.46% | +6.57% | |
| Q4 | $0.57 | 0.50% | $142.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.06% | -4.96% | |
| Q3 | $0.57 | -0.65% | $148.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.93% | +4.91% | |
| Q2 | $1.13 | 0.30% | $141.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.87% | +0.62% | |
| Q1 | $0.90 | 0.45% | $101.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.36% | +3.93% | |
| Q4 | $0.90 | -0.34% | $80.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.74% | -8.93% | |
| Q3 | $0.90 | -0.79% | $65.88 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.55% | +5.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.90 | -1.73% | $61.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.13% | +1.44% | |
| Q1 | $0.78 | -1.54% | $62.20 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.32% | +2.62% | |
| Q4 | $0.78 | 0.17% | $57.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.80% | +7.21% | |
| Q3 | $0.78 | -0.39% | $68.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.35% | +3.29% | |
| Q2 | $0.78 | 0.33% | $71.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.22% | -2.63% | |
| Q1 | $0.71 | -0.01% | $73.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.58% | -0.07% | |
| Q4 | $0.71 | -0.20% | $93.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.94% | -0.83% | |
| Q3 | $0.59 | -4.40% | $79.47 | 6 | no | yes | -4.91% | -0.38% |
- -0.10%
- -2.22%
- +1.20%
- +7.15%
- +10.34%
- +6.57%
- -4.96%
- +4.91%
- +0.62%
- +3.93%
- -8.93%
- +5.75%
- +1.44%
- +2.62%
- +7.21%
- +3.29%
- -2.63%
- -0.07%
- -0.83%
- -0.38%
WSM Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
WSM Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with WSM's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $152.00
- After-tax dividend
- $98.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$38.30
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$60.50
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.16%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~8.0%
WSM Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical WSM ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · WSM (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -0.38% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +1.09% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.35% | |
| +1.25% | |
| +1.47% | |
| +1.37% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.40% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.