WSM dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Williams-Sonoma (WSM) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.24), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, WSM sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 16, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.24
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.24 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.08% | +0.34pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.12% | -0.63pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 3 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.76
Per-event yield
0.33%
Annualized yield
1.24%
Previously paid
Jul 17, 2026 ($0.76)
Last record date
Jul 17, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 21, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Williams-Sonoma (WSM). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.76 | -1.00% | $228.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.52% | -0.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.76 | 1.51% | $191.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.74% | -0.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.66 | -0.02% | $210.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.15% | -2.22% | |
| Q4 | $0.66 | -0.44% | $187.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.48% | +1.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.66 | 0.55% | $170.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.49% | +7.15% | |
| Q2 | $0.66 | 0.43% | $137.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.31% | +10.34% | |
| Q1 | $0.57 | 1.33% | $199.13 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.46% | +6.57% | |
| Q4 | $0.57 | 0.50% | $142.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.06% | -4.96% | |
| Q3 | $0.57 | -0.65% | $148.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.93% | +4.91% | |
| Q2 | $1.13 | 0.30% | $141.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.87% | +0.62% | |
| Q1 | $0.90 | 0.45% | $101.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.36% | +3.93% | |
| Q4 | $0.90 | -0.34% | $80.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.74% | -8.93% | |
| Q3 | $0.90 | -0.79% | $65.88 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.55% | +5.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.90 | -1.73% | $61.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.13% | +1.44% | |
| Q1 | $0.78 | -1.54% | $62.20 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.32% | +2.62% | |
| Q4 | $0.78 | 0.17% | $57.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.80% | +7.21% | |
| Q3 | $0.78 | -0.39% | $68.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.35% | +3.29% | |
| Q2 | $0.78 | 0.33% | $71.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.22% | -2.63% | |
| Q1 | $0.71 | -0.01% | $73.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.58% | -0.07% | |
| Q4 | $0.71 | -0.20% | $93.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.94% | -0.83% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with WSM's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical WSM ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.78%
Win rate (20 trades)
100%
Cumulative P&L
+15.52%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+160.29%
Best event
+1.47%
Worst event
+0.29%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · WSM (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.76% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +1.09% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.35% | |
| +1.25% | |
| +1.47% | |
| +1.37% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.33% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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