Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what WSM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$236.84
Method range
$26.35 – $236.84
median $156.37
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $236.84 | +15.54% |
| Exit multiple | $107.44 | -47.58% |
| Analyst target | $205.29 | +0.15% |
| Graham number | $26.35 | -87.14% |
- Forward DCF$236.84
- Exit multiple$107.44
- Analyst target$205.29
- Graham number$26.35
Stock price
$204.98
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.83
3Y FCF CAGR
3.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$9.56
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
48.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2044.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
3.4%
Your model implies
48.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 3% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0% | 44.7% | 44.0% | 43.1% | 42.3% | 41.3% |
| 11.0% | 47.3% | 46.6% | 45.9% | 45.1% | 44.3% |
| 12.0% | 49.8% | 49.2% | 48.5% | 47.8% | 47.1% |
| 13.0% | 52.2% | 51.6% | 51.0% | 50.4% | 49.8% |
| 14.0% | 54.5% | 54.0% | 53.4% | 52.9% | 52.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$437M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.49
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Williams-Sonoma (WSM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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