Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what WSM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$233.94
Method range
$26.35 – $233.94
median $160.51
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $233.94 | +5.22% |
| Exit multiple | $110.15 | -50.46% |
| Analyst target | $210.88 | -5.15% |
| Graham number | $26.35 | -88.15% |
- Forward DCF$233.94
- Exit multiple$110.15
- Analyst target$210.88
- Graham number$26.35
Stock price
$222.34
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.83
3Y FCF CAGR
3.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$9.46
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
50.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2,249.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
3.4%
Your model implies
50.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 3% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.1% | 46.2% | 45.5% | 44.6% | 43.8% | 42.8% |
| 11.1% | 48.9% | 48.2% | 47.4% | 46.7% | 45.8% |
| 12.1% | 51.4% | 50.7% | 50.1% | 49.4% | 48.7% |
| 13.1% | 53.8% | 53.2% | 52.6% | 52.0% | 51.3% |
| 14.1% | 56.1% | 55.6% | 55.0% | 54.4% | 53.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$437M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.49
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Williams-Sonoma (WSM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks5.51% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.28% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History8 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.