Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ABNB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$115.87
Method range
$8.77 – $154.67
median $127.88
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $115.87 | -21.12% |
| Exit multiple | $139.90 | -4.76% |
| Analyst target | $154.67 | +5.30% |
| Graham number | $8.77 | -94.03% |
- Forward DCF$115.87
- Exit multiple$139.90
- Analyst target$154.67
- Graham number$8.77
Stock price
$146.89
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.86
3Y FCF CAGR
18.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$123.91
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
21.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -18.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
18.7%
Your model implies
21.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 19% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 14.2% |
| 9.2% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 17.1% |
| 10.2% | 22.3% | 21.7% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 19.7% |
| 11.2% | 24.4% | 23.8% | 23.3% | 22.7% | 22.1% |
| 12.2% | 26.4% | 25.9% | 25.4% | 24.9% | 24.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$4.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.14
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Airbnb (ABNB) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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