Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ABNB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$113.44
Method range
$8.77 – $155.41
median $126.53
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $113.44 | -15.05% |
| Exit multiple | $139.61 | +4.55% |
| Analyst target | $155.41 | +16.38% |
| Graham number | $8.77 | -93.43% |
- Forward DCF$113.44
- Exit multiple$139.61
- Analyst target$155.41
- Graham number$8.77
Stock price
$133.54
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.86
3Y FCF CAGR
18.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$121.16
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
20.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -10.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
18.7%
Your model implies
20.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 19% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.4% |
| 9.3% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 16.2% |
| 10.3% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
| 11.3% | 23.3% | 22.8% | 22.2% | 21.7% | 21.1% |
| 12.3% | 25.2% | 24.8% | 24.3% | 23.8% | 23.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$4.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.16
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Airbnb (ABNB) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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